MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why LYTS Stock advanced +1.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$20.67 +1.03% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.67
LSI Industries Inc. (LYTS) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $771.1M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.67 (+0.00%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LYTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LYTS SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 34% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (21% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6% FCF Margin ($34.7M FCF) & 24.7% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$20.65-4.5% Next Q
59
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$19.72+2.8% Next Q
62
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$20.27+2% Next Q
64
CurrentGrade C+$20.67+1.6% Hist 90D α
67
Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LYTS Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, LYTS faces multiple-compression risk if 31.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 22.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.31) or 200D SMA ($22.03) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.51) toward Bear Floor ($16.78).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LYTS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LYTS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why LYTS Stock advanced +1.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
LSI Industries Inc. (LYTS) advanced +1.03% to $20.67, trading at 34% of its 52-week range ($17.21 – $27.36). Solid 25% profit margin (25% profit margin), mixed timing at 32x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 34% of its 52-week range ($17.21 – $27.36) with RSI-14 at 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.6% around $20.67 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 24.7% gross margin and $34.7M annual free cash flow.
Live LYTS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LYTS Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LYTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.97%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $20.39H $20.67L $19.49C $20.67VOL 413.9K
RES: $20.86SUP: $17.68SMA50: $20.31SMA200: $22.03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
LYTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +22.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LYTS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LYTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LYTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LYTS)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #242 of 1011
⚔️ SKYX vs LYTS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LYTS vs. SKYX, PCLA, OESX, AYI)
Industry: Building Products (12 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LSI Industries Inc. (LYTS) ranks #242 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #543 by equity capitalization ($771.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AYI leads on earnings valuation at 24.5x trailing P/E, while AYI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.9% ROIC and 47.8% gross margin. AYI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with LYTS at 67/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LYTS
ACTIVE
LSI Industries Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 31.6x | 24.7% | — | +1.03% | $771.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| SKYX SKYX Platforms Corp. | E | 33/100 | — | 30.3% | -35.0% | -4.32% | $107.2M | /skyx-vs-lyts → |
| PCLA PicoCELA Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | — | — | — | +86.09% | $106.7M | /pcla-vs-lyts → |
| OESX Orion Energy Systems Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | 32.6% | -8.0% | +1.98% | $83.4M | /oesx-vs-lyts → |
| AYI Acuity Inc. | B+ | 78/100 | 24.5x | 47.8% | 13.9% | +3.24% | $9.72B | /ayi-vs-lyts → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000763532In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), LSI Industries Inc. (LYTS) reported GAAP revenue of $573.4M (+22.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $469.6M , and +15.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $24.4M, operating cash flow of $38.1M, and free cash flow of $34.7M (-8.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, LYTS closed FY2025 with $396.3M in total assets against $27.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-06-30 | $573.4M | $24.4M | $38.1M | $34.7M | $396.3M | $27.9M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-06-30 | $469.6M | $25.0M | $43.4M | $38.0M | $344.5M | $34.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-06-30 | $497.0M | $25.8M | $49.6M | $49.6M | — | — |
3. LYTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LYTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, LSI Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: LYTS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $20.67 (+1.03% 1D, market cap $771.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LYTS ranks #242 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LYTS compare to SKYX and PCLA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Building Products), LYTS carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.6x, gross margin of 24.7%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SKYX (SKYX Platforms Corp.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $107.2M) and PCLA (PicoCELA Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $106.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AYI leads on earnings multiple (24.5x) while AYI leads on capital efficiency (13.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LYTS?
Per LYTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000763532), LSI Industries Inc. generated $573.4M in revenue (+22.1% YoY), $24.4M in net income, and $34.7M in free cash flow against $396.3M in total assets and $27.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LYTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LYTS last traded at $20.67 (+1.03% on volume of 199,854 shares), positioning the stock +1.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.31) and -6.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.03). Across its 52-week range of $17.21 to $27.36, LYTS sits at the 34.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($19.31 to $22.03).
LYTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is LYTS stock moving today?
Why LYTS Stock advanced +1.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 25% profit margin (25% profit margin), mixed timing at 32x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.