LSI Industries Inc. (LYTS) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$20.67 +1.03% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.67

LSI Industries Inc. (LYTS) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $771.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.67 (+0.00%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-
Cash (14)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$29 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE LYTS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LYTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LYTS SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 34% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6% FCF Margin ($34.7M FCF) & 24.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$20.65-4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$19.72+2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$20.27+2% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$20.67+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LYTS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, LYTS faces multiple-compression risk if 31.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 22.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.31) or 200D SMA ($22.03) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.51) toward Bear Floor ($16.78).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LYTS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LYTS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
2.58% Total Yield
0.78% Cash ($0.16/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
14% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (14.7% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $39,413

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,017/yr
$11.5K
Yr 1
$13.2K
Yr 2
$15.1K
Yr 3
$17.3K
Yr 4
$19.9K
Yr 5
$22.8K
Yr 6
$26.1K
Yr 7
$30.0K
Yr 8
$34.4K
Yr 9
$39.4K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in LYTS & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on LYTS and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LYTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.97%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $20.39H $20.67L $19.49C $20.67VOL 413.9K
RES: $20.86SUP: $17.68SMA50: $20.31SMA200: $22.03
$27.94$25.55$23.15$20.76$18.37RES $20.86SUP $17.68$20.672026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LYTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LYTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LYTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LYTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LYTS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #242 of 1011 ⚔️ SKYX vs LYTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LYTS vs. SKYX, PCLA, OESX, AYI)

Industry: Building Products (12 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LSI Industries Inc. (LYTS) ranks #242 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #543 by equity capitalization ($771.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AYI leads on earnings valuation at 24.5x trailing P/E, while AYI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.9% ROIC and 47.8% gross margin. AYI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with LYTS at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LYTS ACTIVE
LSI Industries Inc.
C+ 67/100 31.6x 24.7% — +1.03% $771.1M Benchmark Subject
SKYX
SKYX Platforms Corp.
E 33/100 — 30.3% -35.0% -4.32% $107.2M /skyx-vs-lyts →
PCLA
PicoCELA Inc.
C+ 67/100 — — — +86.09% $106.7M /pcla-vs-lyts →
OESX
Orion Energy Systems Inc.
D- 36/100 — 32.6% -8.0% +1.98% $83.4M /oesx-vs-lyts →
AYI
Acuity Inc.
B+ 78/100 24.5x 47.8% 13.9% +3.24% $9.72B /ayi-vs-lyts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000763532

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), LSI Industries Inc. (LYTS) reported GAAP revenue of $573.4M (+22.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $469.6M , and +15.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $24.4M, operating cash flow of $38.1M, and free cash flow of $34.7M (-8.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, LYTS closed FY2025 with $396.3M in total assets against $27.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $573.4M $24.4M $38.1M $34.7M $396.3M $27.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $469.6M $25.0M $43.4M $38.0M $344.5M $34.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $497.0M $25.8M $49.6M $49.6M — —

3. LYTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LYTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, LSI Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: LYTS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $20.67 (+1.03% 1D, market cap $771.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LYTS ranks #242 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LYTS compare to SKYX and PCLA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Building Products), LYTS carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.6x, gross margin of 24.7%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SKYX (SKYX Platforms Corp.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $107.2M) and PCLA (PicoCELA Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $106.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AYI leads on earnings multiple (24.5x) while AYI leads on capital efficiency (13.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LYTS?

Per LYTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000763532), LSI Industries Inc. generated $573.4M in revenue (+22.1% YoY), $24.4M in net income, and $34.7M in free cash flow against $396.3M in total assets and $27.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LYTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LYTS last traded at $20.67 (+1.03% on volume of 199,854 shares), positioning the stock +1.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.31) and -6.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.03). Across its 52-week range of $17.21 to $27.36, LYTS sits at the 34.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($19.31 to $22.03).

LYTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does LYTS pay a dividend and is it safe?

LSI Industries Inc. (LYTS) offers a 0.78% cash dividend yield ($0.16 annualized) and 2.58% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

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