MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why LUCK Stock slipped -0.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$4.05 -0.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.04
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $552.1M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.04 (-0.23%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LUCK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LUCK SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (35% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 30.4 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (26% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$5.01-4.2% Next Q
42
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$4.80-12.9% Next Q
39
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$4.18-3.1% Next Q
37
CurrentGrade E$4.05-8.7% Hist 90D α
34
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LUCK Turnaround Squeeze
While LUCK currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.37) and Max Pain ($4.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.07.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LUCK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LUCK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why LUCK Stock slipped -0.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) slipped -0.25% to $4.05, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($3.76 – $9.59). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($3.76 – $9.59) with RSI-14 at 30.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $4.05 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live LUCK Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 6h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LUCK)
- ✓Walkthrough of LUCK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LUCK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.06%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $4.05H $4.11L $3.81C $4.05VOL 69.8K
RES: $5.34SUP: $3.59SMA50: $5.37SMA200: $7.26
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
LUCK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
3.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LUCK today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LUCK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LUCK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LUCK)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #915 of 1011
⚔️ RSVR vs LUCK Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LUCK vs. RSVR, FUN, CDRO, ACEL)
Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) ranks #915 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #575 by equity capitalization ($552.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACEL leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while ACEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ACEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with LUCK at 34/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LUCK
ACTIVE
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) | E | 34/100 | — | — | 7.7% | -0.25% | $552.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| RSVR Reservoir Media Inc. | C | 62/100 | 80.8x | 64.7% | 3.8% | +0.31% | $632.3M | /rsvr-vs-luck → |
| FUN Six Flags Entertainment Corporation | D | 48/100 | — | 91.3% | -19.3% | +1.86% | $785.8M | /fun-vs-luck → |
| CDRO Codere Online Luxembourg S.A. | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -5.86% | $387.4M | /cdro-vs-luck → |
| ACEL Accel Entertainment Inc. | C | 64/100 | 17.8x | — | 15.7% | +1.89% | $917.5M | /acel-vs-luck → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-28 • CIK 0001840572In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28), Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) reported GAAP revenue of $1.25B (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and +17.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$35.8M, operating cash flow of $103.9M, and free cash flow of -$9.8M (-127.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, LUCK closed FY2025 with $3.27B in total assets against $1.76B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.44, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-06-28 | $1.25B | -$35.8M | $103.9M | -$9.8M | $3.27B | $1.76B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-06-29 | $1.20B | -$10.0M | $177.2M | $36.2M | $3.24B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-07-02 | $1.06B | $82.0M | $217.8M | $217.8M | — | — |
3. LUCK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LUCK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (NYSE: LUCK) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $4.05 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $552.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LUCK ranks #915 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LUCK compare to RSVR and FUN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), LUCK carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.7%. By comparison, RSVR (Reservoir Media Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 80.8x, ROIC 3.8%, cap $632.3M) and FUN (Six Flags Entertainment Corporation) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.3%, cap $785.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LUCK?
Per LUCK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28, CIK 0001840572), Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) generated $1.25B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), -$35.8M in net income, and -$9.8M in free cash flow against $3.27B in total assets and $1.76B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LUCK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LUCK last traded at $4.05 (-0.25% on volume of 41,332 shares), positioning the stock -24.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.37) and -44.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.26). Across its 52-week range of $3.76 to $9.59, LUCK sits at the 5.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.54 to $4.56).
LUCK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is LUCK stock moving today?
Why LUCK Stock slipped -0.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.