Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$4.05 -0.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.04

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $552.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.04 (-0.23%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (6)Whales (9)SEC (4)Macro (12)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.9% Base Target
$10 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE LUCK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LUCK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LUCK SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (35% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 30.4 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$5.01-4.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$4.80-12.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$4.18-3.1% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$4.05-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LUCK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LUCK currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.37) and Max Pain ($4.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.07.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LUCK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LUCK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 27, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.51 Expected Swing
$3.54 (-12.5%)Spot $4.05$4.56 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LUCK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 34/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 3.7%

Model Bullish Setup (34/100)Model Risk Weight (66/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-06-28$1.25B-$35.8M-$9.8M52%
FY 20242025-06-29$1.20B-$10.0M$36.2M26.2%
FY 20232023-07-02$1.06B$82.0M$217.8M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LUCK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LUCK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LUCK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.06%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $4.05H $4.11L $3.81C $4.05VOL 69.8K
RES: $5.34SUP: $3.59SMA50: $5.37SMA200: $7.26
$9.90$8.24$6.57$4.91$3.24RES $5.34SUP $3.59$4.052026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LUCK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
3.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LUCK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LUCK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LUCK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LUCK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #915 of 1011 ⚔️ RSVR vs LUCK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LUCK vs. RSVR, FUN, CDRO, ACEL)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) ranks #915 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #575 by equity capitalization ($552.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACEL leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while ACEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ACEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with LUCK at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LUCK ACTIVE
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A)
E 34/100 — — 7.7% -0.25% $552.1M Benchmark Subject
RSVR
Reservoir Media Inc.
C 62/100 80.8x 64.7% 3.8% +0.31% $632.3M /rsvr-vs-luck →
FUN
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
D 48/100 — 91.3% -19.3% +1.86% $785.8M /fun-vs-luck →
CDRO
Codere Online Luxembourg S.A.
D 49/100 — — — -5.86% $387.4M /cdro-vs-luck →
ACEL
Accel Entertainment Inc.
C 64/100 17.8x — 15.7% +1.89% $917.5M /acel-vs-luck →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-28 • CIK 0001840572

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28), Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK) reported GAAP revenue of $1.25B (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and +17.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$35.8M, operating cash flow of $103.9M, and free cash flow of -$9.8M (-127.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, LUCK closed FY2025 with $3.27B in total assets against $1.76B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.44, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-06-28 $1.25B -$35.8M $103.9M -$9.8M $3.27B $1.76B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-06-29 $1.20B -$10.0M $177.2M $36.2M $3.24B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-07-02 $1.06B $82.0M $217.8M $217.8M — —

3. LUCK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LUCK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (NYSE: LUCK) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $4.05 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $552.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LUCK ranks #915 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LUCK compare to RSVR and FUN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), LUCK carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.7%. By comparison, RSVR (Reservoir Media Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 80.8x, ROIC 3.8%, cap $632.3M) and FUN (Six Flags Entertainment Corporation) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.3%, cap $785.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LUCK?

Per LUCK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28, CIK 0001840572), Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) generated $1.25B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), -$35.8M in net income, and -$9.8M in free cash flow against $3.27B in total assets and $1.76B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LUCK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LUCK last traded at $4.05 (-0.25% on volume of 41,332 shares), positioning the stock -24.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.37) and -44.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.26). Across its 52-week range of $3.76 to $9.59, LUCK sits at the 5.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.54 to $4.56).

LUCK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is LUCK's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) (LUCK)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 27, 2026.

How much is LUCK stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for LUCK, spanning a range between $3.54 and $4.56.

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