Why LRE Stock dropped -5.35% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.06 -5.35% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.05

Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd (LRE) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $15.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LRE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd (NASDAQ: LRE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $1.06 (-5.35% 1D, market cap $15.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LRE ranks #586 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LRE compare to LGPS and ONEG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), LRE carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LGPS (LogProstyle Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $13.9M) and ONEG (OneConstruction Group Limited) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $12.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BXBL leads on earnings multiple (46.1x) while BXBL leads on capital efficiency (-23.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LRE?
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For Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd (LRE), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #586 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.05 (-1.15%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (5)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.8% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE LRE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LRE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LRE SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0% FCF Margin ($427.8K FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$1.14-5.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$1.08+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$1.08-1.9% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$1.06-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LRE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LRE currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.16) and Max Pain ($1.11) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.92.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LRE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LRE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why LRE Stock dropped -5.35% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd (LRE) dropped -5.35% to $1.06, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($1 – $1.83). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($1 – $1.83) with RSI-14 at 50.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.1% around $1.06 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $427772 annual free cash flow.
Live LRE Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LRE)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LRE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LRE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.83%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $1.12H $1.12L $1.06C $1.06VOL 3.4K
RES: $1.55SUP: $0.91SMA50: $1.16SMA200: $1.28
$1.49$1.36$1.23$1.09$0.96RES $1.55SUP $0.91$1.062026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LRE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LRE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LRE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LRE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LRE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #586 of 1011 ⚔️ LGPS vs LRE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LRE vs. LGPS, ONEG, SPHL, BXBL)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd (LRE) ranks #586 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #900 by equity capitalization ($15.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BXBL leads on earnings valuation at 46.1x trailing P/E, while BXBL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -23.4% ROIC and — gross margin. LGPS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with LRE at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LRE ACTIVE
Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd
D 49/100 — — — -5.35% $15.3M Benchmark Subject
LGPS
LogProstyle Inc.
D+ 54/100 — — — +9.15% $13.9M /lgps-vs-lre →
ONEG
OneConstruction Group Limited
D 48/100 — -14.4% — +108.15% $12.5M /oneg-vs-lre →
SPHL
Springview Holdings Ltd (Class A)
D- 36/100 — 13.7% -27.0% -4.94% $29.8M /sphl-vs-lre →
BXBL
BOXABL Inc.
D 44/100 46.1x — -23.4% +3.68% $65.7M /bxbl-vs-lre →

2. LRE Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd (LRE) operates in Homebuilding (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $15.3M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. LRE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LRE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd (NASDAQ: LRE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $1.06 (-5.35% 1D, market cap $15.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LRE ranks #586 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LRE compare to LGPS and ONEG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), LRE carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LGPS (LogProstyle Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $13.9M) and ONEG (OneConstruction Group Limited) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $12.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BXBL leads on earnings multiple (46.1x) while BXBL leads on capital efficiency (-23.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LRE?

For Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd (LRE), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #586 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LRE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LRE last traded at $1.06 (-5.35% on volume of 23,266 shares), positioning the stock -8.62% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.16) and -17.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.28). Across its 52-week range of $1.00 to $1.83, LRE sits at the 7.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($1.00 to $1.15).

LRE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is LRE stock moving today?

Why LRE Stock dropped -5.35% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LRE — Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:19:57Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LRE scores 49 out of 100, a D grade, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars break down as follows: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 10/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the cash engine and institutional flow, both of which sit at or near zero or low-end values in the source data. A 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield indicate the business is not currently generating a measurable return on invested capital or free cash flow relative to its valuation. The balance sheet is the strongest pillar, with an Altman Z of 2.5 and a Piotroski F of 6/9, but these scores describe solvency and financial hygiene rather than earnings power. The overall verdict is a distribution warning, meaning the composite signals point toward weak sponsorship rather than accumulation. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be meaningfully assessed, since P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data. This brief is educational and does not constitute personalized financial advice.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items reference LRE. Items are labeled as market wire or catalyst. One item, a TradingKey report on top U.S. stock gainers, carries a GREEN light and a CATALYST impact label, the only positive-flagged item in the set. Five items carry YELLOW lights and MARKET WIRE labels, covering estimates, seasonal return charts, a dividend-related payout, and a price-consolidation report. One headline reports a JPY136 million cash payout following dividend approval, but the source does not specify the period or per-share amount. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items are limited to the YELLOW-flagged market wire, which the source does not characterize as negative. Not available in source data for detailed contents of the news items.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the sector is Consumer Discretionary, the industry is Homebuilding, and the supply chain is listed as "NONE." No upstream or downstream butterfly links and no proprietary signals are recorded. Accordingly, no sector correlations or 2nd-order bottlenecks can be identified from the source data. Not available in source data for upstream and downstream dependencies.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's reported revenues, earnings, and free cash flows, given that the financials section is empty?
  • Which specific homebuilding projects, markets, or products generate Lead Real Estate's business activity?
  • What are the terms, period, and per-share amount of the reported JPY136 million dividend payout?
  • Who are the institutional holders and insiders driving the whale and insider pillar scores, and what were their transaction sizes and dates?
  • What drove the 52-week range of $1 to $1.83, and how does the current $1.12 price compare on any valuation basis?

LRE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd (LRE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LRE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LRE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.06?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LRE 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LRE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $1.21 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LRE (D • RQD 49/100) a Buy at $1.12?

Welcome to the LRE (Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 49/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Homebuilding. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.92 (-17.9%)
Spot @ $1.12

Pump the brakes on LRE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LRE, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.41 (+25.9%)
Spot @ $1.12

LRE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LRE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Homebuilding and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.12 (52-wk range $1.00 - $1.83), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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