The Lovesac Company (LOVE) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$16.57 +8.23% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.78

The Lovesac Company (LOVE) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $239.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.78 (+1.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (14)SEC (12)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$20 Bull$17 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE LOVE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LOVE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LOVE SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 70% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 61.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$14.21+2.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$14.52+6.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$15.49+7% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$16.57+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LOVE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, LOVE faces multiple-compression risk if 58.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 58x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.10) or 200D SMA ($15.14) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.02) toward Bear Floor ($13.28).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LOVE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LOVE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 31, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±9.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (LOVE)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for LOVE.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating LOVE & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on LOVE
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LOVE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.81%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $16.56H $16.78L $16.09C $16.57VOL 263.6K
RES: $14.67SUP: $13.13SMA50: $15.10SMA200: $15.14
$19.67$17.93$16.20$14.47$12.73RES $14.67SUP $13.13$16.572026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LOVE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
40.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LOVE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LOVE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LOVE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LOVE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #307 of 1011 ⚔️ HITI vs LOVE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LOVE vs. HITI, NEGG, FLWS, PLBY)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Lovesac Company (LOVE) ranks #307 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #673 by equity capitalization ($239.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LOVE leads on earnings valuation at 58.3x trailing P/E, while LOVE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.6% ROIC and 56.4% gross margin. LOVE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LOVE ACTIVE
The Lovesac Company
C 64/100 58.3x 56.4% 3.6% +8.23% $239.0M Benchmark Subject
HITI
High Tide Inc.
D+ 58/100 — — — -1.11% $237.1M /hiti-vs-love →
NEGG
Newegg Commerce Inc.
E 23/100 — 48.7% -14.3% -5.19% $205.1M /negg-vs-love →
FLWS
1-800-FLOWERS.COM Inc.
E 30/100 — 38.0% -35.0% -2.37% $184.9M /flws-vs-love →
PLBY
Playboy Inc.
E 33/100 — 71.0% -4.1% +2.63% $140.2M /plby-vs-love →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-02-01 • CIK 0001701758

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-01), The Lovesac Company (LOVE) reported GAAP revenue of $697.1M (+2.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $680.6M , and -0.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.1M, operating cash flow of $49.3M, and free cash flow of $26.2M (+45.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LOVE closed FY2025 with $534.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.05, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-02-01 $697.1M $4.1M $49.3M $26.2M $534.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-02-02 $680.6M $11.6M $39.0M $18.0M $532.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-02-04 $700.3M $23.9M $76.4M $76.4M — —

3. LOVE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LOVE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, The Lovesac Company (NASDAQ: LOVE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $16.57 (+8.23% 1D, market cap $239.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LOVE ranks #307 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LOVE compare to HITI and NEGG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), LOVE carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 58.3x, gross margin of 56.4%, and ROIC of 3.6%. By comparison, HITI (High Tide Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $237.1M) and NEGG (Newegg Commerce Inc.) posts a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.3%, cap $205.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOVE leads on earnings multiple (58.3x) while LOVE leads on capital efficiency (3.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LOVE?

Per LOVE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-01, CIK 0001701758), The Lovesac Company generated $697.1M in revenue (+2.4% YoY), $4.1M in net income, and $26.2M in free cash flow against $534.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 58x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LOVE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LOVE last traded at $16.57 (+8.23% on volume of 221,906 shares), positioning the stock +9.74% above its 50-day simple moving average ($15.10) and +9.45% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.14). Across its 52-week range of $10.33 to $19.25, LOVE sits at the 70.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($15.00 to $18.14).

LOVE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is LOVE's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for LOVE.

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