MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why LOVE Stock surged +8.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$16.57 +8.23% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.78
The Lovesac Company (LOVE) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $239.0M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.78 (+1.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LOVE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LOVE SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (22% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 70% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 61.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)
Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$14.21+2.2% Next Q
56
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$14.52+6.7% Next Q
59
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$15.49+7% Next Q
61
CurrentGrade C$16.57+1.1% Hist 90D α
64
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LOVE Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 64/100 (C) score, LOVE faces multiple-compression risk if 58.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Priced at 58x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.10) or 200D SMA ($15.14) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.02) toward Bear Floor ($13.28).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LOVE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LOVE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 31, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why LOVE Stock surged +8.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
The Lovesac Company (LOVE) surged +8.23% to $16.57, trading at 70% of its 52-week range ($10.33 – $19.25). Solid 56% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 58x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 70% of its 52-week range ($10.33 – $19.25) with RSI-14 at 61.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.5% around $16.57 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 56.4% gross margin and $26.2M annual free cash flow.
Live LOVE Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 5h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LOVE Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LOVE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.81%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $16.56H $16.78L $16.09C $16.57VOL 263.6K
RES: $14.67SUP: $13.13SMA50: $15.10SMA200: $15.14
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
LOVE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
40.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +2.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LOVE today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LOVE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LOVE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LOVE)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #307 of 1011
⚔️ HITI vs LOVE Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LOVE vs. HITI, NEGG, FLWS, PLBY)
Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Lovesac Company (LOVE) ranks #307 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #673 by equity capitalization ($239.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LOVE leads on earnings valuation at 58.3x trailing P/E, while LOVE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.6% ROIC and 56.4% gross margin. LOVE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 64/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOVE
ACTIVE
The Lovesac Company | C | 64/100 | 58.3x | 56.4% | 3.6% | +8.23% | $239.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| HITI High Tide Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -1.11% | $237.1M | /hiti-vs-love → |
| NEGG Newegg Commerce Inc. | E | 23/100 | — | 48.7% | -14.3% | -5.19% | $205.1M | /negg-vs-love → |
| FLWS 1-800-FLOWERS.COM Inc. | E | 30/100 | — | 38.0% | -35.0% | -2.37% | $184.9M | /flws-vs-love → |
| PLBY Playboy Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | 71.0% | -4.1% | +2.63% | $140.2M | /plby-vs-love → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-02-01 • CIK 0001701758In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-01), The Lovesac Company (LOVE) reported GAAP revenue of $697.1M (+2.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $680.6M , and -0.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.1M, operating cash flow of $49.3M, and free cash flow of $26.2M (+45.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LOVE closed FY2025 with $534.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.05, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-02-01 | $697.1M | $4.1M | $49.3M | $26.2M | $534.7M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-02-02 | $680.6M | $11.6M | $39.0M | $18.0M | $532.3M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-02-04 | $700.3M | $23.9M | $76.4M | $76.4M | — | — |
3. LOVE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LOVE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, The Lovesac Company (NASDAQ: LOVE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $16.57 (+8.23% 1D, market cap $239.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LOVE ranks #307 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LOVE compare to HITI and NEGG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), LOVE carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 58.3x, gross margin of 56.4%, and ROIC of 3.6%. By comparison, HITI (High Tide Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $237.1M) and NEGG (Newegg Commerce Inc.) posts a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.3%, cap $205.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOVE leads on earnings multiple (58.3x) while LOVE leads on capital efficiency (3.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LOVE?
Per LOVE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-01, CIK 0001701758), The Lovesac Company generated $697.1M in revenue (+2.4% YoY), $4.1M in net income, and $26.2M in free cash flow against $534.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 58x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LOVE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LOVE last traded at $16.57 (+8.23% on volume of 221,906 shares), positioning the stock +9.74% above its 50-day simple moving average ($15.10) and +9.45% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.14). Across its 52-week range of $10.33 to $19.25, LOVE sits at the 70.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($15.00 to $18.14).
LOVE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is LOVE stock moving today?
Why LOVE Stock surged +8.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 56% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 58x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.