Stock Ratings / Real Estate / LINC / earnings

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Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.1% Move

$22.13 +1.89% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.16

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $702.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.16 (+0.15%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LINC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LINC SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.94 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$23.49-5.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$22.22-2.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$21.68+2.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$22.13+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LINC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, LINC faces multiple-compression risk if 35.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 57.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.53) or 200D SMA ($35.90) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.23) toward Bear Floor ($17.34).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LINC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LINC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.1% Swing Band

±$2.01 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LINC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 59/100

Trailing EPS: $0.63 • YoY Revenue Growth: 17.8%

Model Bullish Setup (59/100)Model Risk Weight (41/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$518.2M	$20.0M	-$27.3M	60.4%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$440.1M	$9.9M	-$27.6M	58.7%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$378.1M	$26.0M	$25.6M	60.4%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating LINC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on LINC
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

LINC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -46.21%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $21.95H $22.13L $20.31C $22.13VOL 701.6K

RES: $62.56SUP: $11.62SMA50: $23.53SMA200: $35.90

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LINC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LINC Butterfly Map → + Track LINC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

27.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LINC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LINC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LINC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LINC)

Real Estate Rank #20 of 51 ⚔️ APEI vs LINC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (LINC vs. APEI, PXED, GOTU, AFYA)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) ranks #20 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #20 by equity capitalization ($702.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APEI leads on earnings valuation at 25.7x trailing P/E, while APEI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.6% ROIC and 54.2% gross margin. APEI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with LINC at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LINC ACTIVE Lincoln Educational Services Corporation	C-	59/100	35.1x	60.4%	14.0%	+1.89%	$702.0M	Benchmark Subject
APEI American Public Education Inc.	C+	69/100	25.7x	54.2%	17.6%	+0.64%	$810.8M	/apei-vs-linc →
PXED Phoenix Education Partners Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+2.30%	$896.5M	/pxed-vs-linc →
GOTU Gaotu Techedu Inc.	D-	43/100	—	67.4%	-35.0%	-3.81%	$541.3M	/gotu-vs-linc →
AFYA Afya Limited (Class A)	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-0.68%	$953.2M	/afya-vs-linc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001286613

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC) reported GAAP revenue of $518.2M (+17.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $440.1M , and +37.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $20.0M, operating cash flow of $59.3M, and free cash flow of -$27.3M (+0.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LINC closed FY2025 with $493.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.94, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$518.2M	$20.0M	$59.3M	-$27.3M	$493.2M	$0
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$440.1M	$9.9M	$29.3M	-$27.6M	$436.6M	$0
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$378.1M	$26.0M	$25.6M	$25.6M	—	—

3. LINC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LINC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (NASDAQ: LINC) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $22.13 (+1.89% 1D, market cap $702.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, LINC ranks #20 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LINC compare to APEI and PXED in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), LINC carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.1x, gross margin of 60.4%, and ROIC of 14.0%. By comparison, APEI (American Public Education Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 17.6%, cap $810.8M) and PXED (Phoenix Education Partners Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $896.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APEI leads on earnings multiple (25.7x) while APEI leads on capital efficiency (17.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LINC?

Per LINC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001286613), Lincoln Educational Services Corporation generated $518.2M in revenue (+17.8% YoY), $20.0M in net income, and -$27.3M in free cash flow against $493.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LINC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LINC last traded at $22.13 (+1.89% on volume of 522,719 shares), positioning the stock -5.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.53) and -38.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($35.90). Across its 52-week range of $17.29 to $56.34, LINC sits at the 12.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($20.12 to $24.14).

LINC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is LINC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is LINC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.1% event move for LINC, spanning a range between $20.12 and $24.14.

Direct Sub-Reports: LINC RQD Cockpit LINC 12M Forecast LINC Earnings & Move LINC Dividends & DRIP LINC Insiders & 13F LINC Whale Options LINC Profit Sankey LINC News & Why