LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-01, LGI Homes Inc. (NASDAQ: LGIH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $43.74 (+5.12% 1D, market cap $1.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LGIH ranks #760 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), LGIH carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.0x, gross margin of 20.7%, and ROIC of 3.0%. By comparison, DFH (Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 4.2x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $909.0M) and LEGH (Legacy Housing Corporation (TX)) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 16.5x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $688.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
Per LGIH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580670), LGI Homes Inc. generated $1.71B in revenue (-22.6% YoY), $72.6M in net income, and -$140.9M in free cash flow against $3.93B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.4% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 31% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Capital intensity & 4.7% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table
While LGIH currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($48.61) and Max Pain ($45.93) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $69.56.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) surged +5.12% to $43.74, trading at 31% of its 52-week range ($33.55 – $66.25). Stretched risk/reward at 14x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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Homebuilders rally as the 10-year Treasury yield falls below 5%. Lennar, KB Home and Zillow lead while REITs lag ahead of next week's Fed meeting.
https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2026/10/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-decreases-housing-costs-for-americans/
Technology stocks led a partial recovery on Monday after last week's AI-driven selloff. The Nasdaq Composite rose about 1.1%, the S&P 500 gained about 0.4% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped less than 0.1%, acc
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -22.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LGIH today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LGIH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) ranks #760 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #510 by equity capitalization ($1.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFH leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while DFH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and — gross margin. LEGH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with LGIH at 44/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LGIH
ACTIVE
LGI Homes Inc. | D | 44/100 | 14.0x | 20.7% | 3.0% | +5.12% | $1.02B | Benchmark Subject |
| DFH Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A) | D | 51/100 | 4.2x | — | 15.3% | +3.29% | $909.0M | /dfh-vs-lgih → |
| LEGH Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) | C+ | 69/100 | 16.5x | — | 7.4% | +1.87% | $688.0M | /legh-vs-lgih → |
| CCS Century Communities Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 10.3x | — | 5.7% | -5.52% | $1.52B | /ccs-vs-lgih → |
| HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (Class A) | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | +0.90% | $610.6M | /hov-vs-lgih → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LGI Homes Inc. (LGIH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.71B (-22.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.20B , and -27.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $72.6M, operating cash flow of -$140.0M, and free cash flow of -$140.9M (+3.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, LGIH closed FY2025 with $3.93B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.60, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.71B | $72.6M | -$140.0M | -$140.9M | $3.93B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.20B | $196.1M | -$143.7M | -$145.7M | $3.76B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.36B | $199.2M | -$57.0M | -$57.0M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, LGI Homes Inc. (NASDAQ: LGIH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $43.74 (+5.12% 1D, market cap $1.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LGIH ranks #760 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), LGIH carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.0x, gross margin of 20.7%, and ROIC of 3.0%. By comparison, DFH (Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 4.2x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $909.0M) and LEGH (Legacy Housing Corporation (TX)) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 16.5x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $688.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
Per LGIH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580670), LGI Homes Inc. generated $1.71B in revenue (-22.6% YoY), $72.6M in net income, and -$140.9M in free cash flow against $3.93B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
LGIH last traded at $43.74 (+5.12% on volume of 330,829 shares), positioning the stock -10.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($48.61) and -12.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($50.24). Across its 52-week range of $33.55 to $66.25, LGIH sits at the 31.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.4% ($38.75 to $48.73).
Why LGIH Stock surged +5.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 14x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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