MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
COMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag - ReutersCOMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag Reuters
Why LFT Stock slipped -1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$3.90 -1.27% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.88
Lument Finance Trust Inc. (LFT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $20.5M
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Is LFT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Lument Finance Trust Inc. (NYSE: LFT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $3.90 (-1.27% 1D, market cap $20.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LFT ranks #976 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does LFT compare to GPMT and NYC in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), LFT carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, GPMT (Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.4%, cap $21.2M) and NYC (American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.5%, cap $18.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LFT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AHT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LFT?
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Per LFT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001547546), Lument Finance Trust Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$2.7M in net income, and $10.1M in free cash flow against $1.22B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.88 (-0.42%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LFT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LFT SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (31% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.3% FCF Margin ($10.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (28% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$4.94-15.4% Next Q
44
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$4.18+1% Next Q
41
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$4.22-7.6% Next Q
39
CurrentGrade D-$3.90-8.3% Hist 90D α
36
Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LFT Turnaround Squeeze
While LFT currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.56) and Max Pain ($4.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.32.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LFT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LFT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why LFT Stock slipped -1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Lument Finance Trust Inc. (LFT) slipped -1.27% to $3.90, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($3.85 – $16.5). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($3.85 – $16.5) with RSI-14 at 25 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.1% around $3.90 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $10.1M annual free cash flow.
Live LFT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
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CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
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CATALYSTReuters • 10h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LFT)
- ✓Walkthrough of LFT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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LFT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -66.38%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $3.95H $3.95L $3.90C $3.90VOL 13.3K
RES: $7.33SUP: $3.79SMA50: $5.56SMA200: $9.81
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
LFT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LFT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LFT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LFT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LFT)
Financials Rank #976 of 1096
⚔️ GPMT vs LFT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (LFT vs. GPMT, NYC, AHT, MDRR)
Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lument Finance Trust Inc. (LFT) ranks #976 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #1056 by equity capitalization ($20.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LFT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. MDRR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with LFT at 36/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LFT
ACTIVE
Lument Finance Trust Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | — | -1.3% | -1.27% | $20.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| GPMT Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | — | -7.4% | -2.00% | $21.2M | /gpmt-vs-lft → |
| NYC American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A) | D- | 35/100 | — | — | 5.5% | 0.00% | $18.4M | /nyc-vs-lft → |
| AHT Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc | D- | 43/100 | — | — | 85.0% | +0.38% | $17.1M | /aht-vs-lft → |
| MDRR Medalist Diversified Inc. | D | 50/100 | — | — | 6.4% | 0.00% | $17.1M | /mdrr-vs-lft → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001547546In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lument Finance Trust Inc. (LFT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$2.7M, operating cash flow of $10.1M, and free cash flow of $10.1M (-62.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, LFT closed FY2025 with $1.22B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$2.7M | $10.1M | $10.1M | $1.22B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $22.6M | $27.1M | $27.1M | $1.13B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $19.7M | $24.7M | $24.7M | — | — |
3. LFT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LFT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Lument Finance Trust Inc. (NYSE: LFT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $3.90 (-1.27% 1D, market cap $20.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LFT ranks #976 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LFT compare to GPMT and NYC in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), LFT carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, GPMT (Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.4%, cap $21.2M) and NYC (American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.5%, cap $18.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LFT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AHT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LFT?
Per LFT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001547546), Lument Finance Trust Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$2.7M in net income, and $10.1M in free cash flow against $1.22B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LFT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LFT last traded at $3.90 (-1.27% on volume of 13,340 shares), positioning the stock -29.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.56) and -60.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.81). Across its 52-week range of $3.85 to $16.50, LFT sits at the 0.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.1% ($3.47 to $4.33).
LFT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is LFT stock moving today?
Why LFT Stock slipped -1.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.