Stock Ratings / Financials / LFT / earnings

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Lument Finance Trust Inc. (LFT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.4% Move

Q: Where is LFT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LFT last traded at $3.90 (-1.27% on volume of 13,340 shares), positioning the stock -30.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.62) and -60.45% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.86). Across its 52-week range of $3.85 to $16.50, LFT sits at the 0.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 23.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.4% ($3.46 to $4.34).

Q: When is LFT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Lument Finance Trust Inc. (LFT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is LFT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.4% event move for LFT, spanning a range between $3.46 and $4.34.

$3.90 -1.27% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.88

Lument Finance Trust Inc. (LFT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $20.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LFT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LFT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Lument Finance Trust Inc. (NYSE: LFT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $3.90 (-1.27% 1D, market cap $20.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LFT ranks #880 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LFT compare to GPMT and NYC in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), LFT carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, GPMT (Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.4%, cap $21.2M) and NYC (American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.5%, cap $18.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LFT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AHT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LFT?

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Per LFT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001547546), Lument Finance Trust Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$2.7M in net income, and $10.1M in free cash flow against $1.22B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.88 (-0.42%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LFT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LFT SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (31% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 23.6 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.3% FCF Margin ($10.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$5.17-14.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$4.40-3.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$4.25-8.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D$3.90-5.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LFT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LFT currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.62) and Max Pain ($4.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.32.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LFT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LFT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.4% Swing Band

±$0.44 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LFT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 49/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (49/100)Model Risk Weight (51/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	-$2.7M	$10.1M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$22.6M	$27.1M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	$19.7M	$24.7M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LFT)

✓Walkthrough of LFT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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LFT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -67.23%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $3.87H $3.90L $3.85C $3.90VOL 13.8K

RES: $4.25SUP: $1.47SMA50: $5.62SMA200: $9.86

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LFT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LFT Butterfly Map → + Track LFT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LFT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LFT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LFT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LFT)

Financials Rank #880 of 1096 ⚔️ GPMT vs LFT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (LFT vs. GPMT, NYC, AHT, MDRR)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lument Finance Trust Inc. (LFT) ranks #880 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #1056 by equity capitalization ($20.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LFT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. MDRR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with LFT at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LFT ACTIVE Lument Finance Trust Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	-1.3%	-1.27%	$20.5M	Benchmark Subject
GPMT Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.	D	51/100	—	—	-7.4%	-2.00%	$21.2M	/gpmt-vs-lft →
NYC American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)	D-	39/100	—	—	5.5%	0.00%	$18.4M	/nyc-vs-lft →
AHT Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc	D	44/100	—	—	85.0%	+0.38%	$17.1M	/aht-vs-lft →
MDRR Medalist Diversified Inc.	D+	53/100	—	—	6.4%	0.00%	$17.1M	/mdrr-vs-lft →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001547546

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lument Finance Trust Inc. (LFT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$2.7M, operating cash flow of $10.1M, and free cash flow of $10.1M (-62.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, LFT closed FY2025 with $1.22B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$2.7M	$10.1M	$10.1M	$1.22B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$22.6M	$27.1M	$27.1M	$1.13B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$19.7M	$24.7M	$24.7M	—	—

3. LFT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LFT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does LFT compare to GPMT and NYC in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LFT?

Where is LFT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LFT last traded at $3.90 (-1.27% on volume of 13,340 shares), positioning the stock -30.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.62) and -60.45% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.86). Across its 52-week range of $3.85 to $16.50, LFT sits at the 0.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 23.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.4% ($3.46 to $4.34).

LFT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is LFT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Lument Finance Trust Inc. (LFT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is LFT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.4% event move for LFT, spanning a range between $3.46 and $4.34.

Direct Sub-Reports: LFT RQD Cockpit LFT 12M Forecast LFT Earnings & Move LFT Dividends & DRIP LFT Insiders & 13F LFT Whale Options LFT Profit Sankey LFT News & Why