Kingsway Corporation (KWY) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.7% Move

$9.62 -0.41% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Kingsway Corporation (KWY) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $278.3M
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (3)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (13)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target
$16 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KWY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.7% Swing Band

±$0.64 Expected Swing
$8.98 (-6.7%)Spot $9.62$10.26 (+6.7%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

KWY Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 40/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 23.4%

Model Bullish Setup (40/100)Model Risk Weight (60/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$135.0M-$10.3K-$3.0K52%
FY 20242024-12-31$109.4M-$8.3K$1.1M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$103.2M$24.0K-$26.2M52%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KWY)

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KWY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.59%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-10-30O $9.62H $9.94L $9.39C $9.62VOL 64.5K
RES: $10.07SUP: $9.27SMA50: $9.72SMA200: $10.63
$13.44$12.08$10.71$9.35$7.99RES $10.07SUP $9.27$9.622026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KWY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KWY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KWY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KWY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KWY)

Financials Rank #985 of 1096 ⚔️ KINS vs KWY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (KWY vs. KINS, NODK, MBI, OSG)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kingsway Corporation (KWY) ranks #985 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #828 by equity capitalization ($278.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KINS leads on earnings valuation at 7.1x trailing P/E, while KINS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.2% ROIC and — gross margin. KINS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with KWY at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KWY ACTIVE
Kingsway Corporation
D- 40/100 — — -13.6% -0.41% $278.3M Benchmark Subject
KINS
Kingstone Companies Inc.
B 73/100 7.1x — 33.2% +1.73% $290.1M /kins-vs-kwy →
NODK
NI Holdings Inc.
D- 35/100 — — -4.3% +1.55% $308.5M /nodk-vs-kwy →
MBI
MBIA Inc.
C- 59/100 — — — -0.22% $227.0M /mbi-vs-kwy →
OSG
Octave Specialty Group Inc.
D- 35/100 — — -35.0% +3.77% $223.0M /osg-vs-kwy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001072627

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Kingsway Corporation (KWY) reported GAAP revenue of $135.0M (+23.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $109.4M , and +30.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$10.3K, operating cash flow of -$3.0K, and free cash flow of -$3.0K (-100.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, KWY closed FY2025 with $231.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $135.0M -$10.3K -$3.0K -$3.0K $231.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $109.4M -$8.3K $1.1M $1.1M $186.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $103.2M $24.0K -$26.2M -$26.2M — —

3. KWY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KWY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Kingsway Corporation (NYSE: KWY) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $9.62 (-0.41% 1D, market cap $278.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, KWY ranks #985 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KWY compare to KINS and NODK in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), KWY carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -13.6%. By comparison, KINS (Kingstone Companies Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 7.1x, ROIC 33.2%, cap $290.1M) and NODK (NI Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.3%, cap $308.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KINS leads on earnings multiple (7.1x) while KINS leads on capital efficiency (33.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KWY?

Per KWY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001072627), Kingsway Corporation generated $135.0M in revenue (+23.4% YoY), -$10.3K in net income, and -$3.0K in free cash flow against $231.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KWY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KWY last traded at $9.62 (-0.41% on volume of 29,172 shares), positioning the stock -1.03% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.72) and -9.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.63). Across its 52-week range of $8.41 to $14.94, KWY sits at the 18.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($8.98 to $10.26).

KWY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is KWY's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Kingsway Corporation (KWY)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is KWY stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.7% event move for KWY, spanning a range between $8.98 and $10.26.

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