Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / KLC / earnings

EVI (61) FC (55) TPVG (56) WW (59) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. (KLC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$2.05 +5.13% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.07

KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. (KLC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $243.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KLC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KLC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. (NYSE: KLC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $2.05 (+5.13% 1D, market cap $243.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, KLC ranks #826 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KLC compare to EVI and FC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), KLC carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.0%. By comparison, EVI (EVI Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 37.3x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $279.7M) and FC (Franklin Covey Company) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 68.0x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $208.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TPVG leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while WW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KLC?

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Per KLC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001873529), KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. generated $2.73B in revenue (+2.6% YoY), -$112.9M in net income, and $110.3M in free cash flow against $3.75B in total assets and $917.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.06 (+0.73%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KLC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KLC SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (33% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (33% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 10% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.87-5.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.77+0% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.77+15.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.05-7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (32) → D- (40)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KLC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KLC currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.15) and Max Pain ($2.15) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.34.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KLC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KLC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 40%NO 60%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 2, 2027 (~61 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.26 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

KLC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 40/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 2.6%

Model Bullish Setup (40/100)Model Risk Weight (60/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-01-03	$2.73B	-$112.9M	$110.3M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-28	$2.66B	-$92.8M	-$16.4M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-30	$2.51B	$102.6M	$303.5M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KLC)

✓Walkthrough of KLC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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KLC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.84%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $2.02H $2.05L $1.88C $2.05VOL 1.03M

RES: $6.79SUP: $1.46SMA50: $2.15SMA200: $3.49

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KLC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KLC Butterfly Map → + Track KLC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KLC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KLC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KLC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KLC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #826 of 1011 ⚔️ EVI vs KLC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (KLC vs. EVI, FC, TPVG, WW)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. (KLC) ranks #826 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #670 by equity capitalization ($243.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TPVG leads on earnings valuation at 3.8x trailing P/E, while WW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. EVI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with KLC at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KLC ACTIVE KinderCare Learning Companies Inc.	D-	40/100	—	—	-1.0%	+5.13%	$243.0M	Benchmark Subject
EVI EVI Industries Inc.	C-	61/100	37.3x	30.4%	5.4%	+1.26%	$279.7M	/evi-vs-klc →
FC Franklin Covey Company	D+	55/100	68.0x	76.2%	12.4%	+0.38%	$208.5M	/fc-vs-klc →
TPVG TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.	D+	56/100	3.8x	—	13.9%	+2.02%	$185.2M	/tpvg-vs-klc →
WW WW International Inc.	C-	59/100	—	—	85.0%	+4.59%	$150.5M	/ww-vs-klc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001873529

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. (KLC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.73B (+2.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.66B , and +8.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$112.9M, operating cash flow of $238.5M, and free cash flow of $110.3M (+770.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, KLC closed FY2025 with $3.75B in total assets against $917.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.69, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-03	$2.73B	-$112.9M	$238.5M	$110.3M	$3.75B	$917.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-28	$2.66B	-$92.8M	$115.9M	-$16.4M	$3.65B	$918.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-30	$2.51B	$102.6M	$303.5M	$303.5M	—	—

3. KLC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KLC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does KLC compare to EVI and FC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KLC?

Where is KLC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KLC last traded at $2.05 (+5.13% on volume of 588,290 shares), positioning the stock -4.65% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.15) and -41.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.49). Across its 52-week range of $1.63 to $6.04, KLC sits at the 9.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.79 to $2.31).

KLC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is KLC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. (KLC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 2, 2027.

How much is KLC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for KLC, spanning a range between $1.79 and $2.31.

Direct Sub-Reports: KLC RQD Cockpit KLC 12M Forecast KLC Earnings & Move KLC Dividends & DRIP KLC Insiders & 13F KLC Whale Options KLC Profit Sankey KLC News & Why