MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why JOUT Stock surged +2.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$46.22 +2.30% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.32
Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $484.4M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.32 (+0.22%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 9.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JOUT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY JOUT SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 59% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (20% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.5% FCF Margin ($56.2M FCF) & 35.1% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$42.76+1.6% Next Q
51
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$43.44+3.6% Next Q
54
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$45.00+2.7% Next Q
56
CurrentGrade C-$46.22+0.2% Hist 90D α
59
Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JOUT Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, JOUT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($44.61) or 200D SMA ($46.45) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($46.43) toward Bear Floor ($36.22).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JOUT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “JOUT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why JOUT Stock surged +2.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) surged +2.30% to $46.22, trading at 59% of its 52-week range ($35.65 – $53.54). Solid 35% profit margin (-5% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 59% of its 52-week range ($35.65 – $53.54) with RSI-14 at 58 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.6% around $46.22 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 35.1% gross margin and $56.2M annual free cash flow.
Live JOUT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (JOUT Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
JOUT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.18%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $46.57H $46.57L $45.63C $46.22VOL 24.6K
RES: $50.52SUP: $41.69SMA50: $44.61SMA200: $46.45
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
JOUT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JOUT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JOUT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JOUT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JOUT)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #421 of 1011
⚔️ FNKO vs JOUT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (JOUT vs. FNKO, JAKK, BBW, ESCA)
Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) ranks #421 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #590 by equity capitalization ($484.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBW leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while BBW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.7% ROIC and 55.8% gross margin. BBW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with JOUT at 59/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOUT
ACTIVE
Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) | C- | 59/100 | — | 35.1% | -4.5% | +2.30% | $484.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| FNKO Funko Inc. (Class A) | D- | 40/100 | — | — | -10.4% | +1.52% | $374.6M | /fnko-vs-jout → |
| JAKK JAKKS Pacific Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | 96.0% | 5.7% | -0.62% | $372.0M | /jakk-vs-jout → |
| BBW Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. | A- | 83/100 | 6.5x | 55.8% | 33.7% | +9.18% | $338.5M | /bbw-vs-jout → |
| ESCA Escalade Incorporated | B+ | 79/100 | 20.2x | 26.9% | 8.0% | +8.63% | $277.2M | /esca-vs-jout → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-03 • CIK 0000788329In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03), Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) reported GAAP revenue of $592.4M (-0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $592.8M , and -10.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$34.3M, operating cash flow of $56.2M, and free cash flow of $56.2M (+37.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, JOUT closed FY2025 with $600.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.79, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-10-03 | $592.4M | -$34.3M | $56.2M | $56.2M | $600.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-27 | $592.8M | -$26.5M | $41.0M | $41.0M | $612.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-29 | $663.8M | $19.5M | $41.7M | $41.7M | — | — |
3. JOUT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs JOUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: JOUT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $46.22 (+2.30% 1D, market cap $484.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JOUT ranks #421 in composite RQD confidence.
How does JOUT compare to FNKO and JAKK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), JOUT carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.1%, and ROIC of -4.5%. By comparison, FNKO (Funko Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $374.6M) and JAKK (JAKKS Pacific Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $372.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JOUT?
Per JOUT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0000788329), Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) generated $592.4M in revenue (-0.1% YoY), -$34.3M in net income, and $56.2M in free cash flow against $600.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is JOUT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
JOUT last traded at $46.22 (+2.30% on volume of 32,742 shares), positioning the stock +3.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($44.61) and -0.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($46.45). Across its 52-week range of $35.65 to $53.54, JOUT sits at the 59.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($43.63 to $48.81).
JOUT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is JOUT stock moving today?
Why JOUT Stock surged +2.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 35% profit margin (-5% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.