Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / JOUT / financials

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Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$46.22 +2.30% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.32

Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $484.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.32 (+0.22%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 9.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JOUT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY JOUT SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 59% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.5% FCF Margin ($56.2M FCF) & 35.1% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$42.76+1.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$43.44+3.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$45.00+2.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$46.22+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JOUT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, JOUT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($44.61) or 200D SMA ($46.45) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($46.43) toward Bear Floor ($36.22).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JOUT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “JOUT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How JOUT Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$56.2M (9.5% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $663.8M

FY24

Rev $592.8M

FY25

Rev $592.4M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$592.4M	35.1%	-2.7%	-$34.3M	$56.2M	-4.5%
FY 2024	$592.8M	33.9%	-7.3%	-$26.5M	$41.0M	-10%
FY 2023	$663.8M	35.1%	1.8%	$19.5M	$41.7M	-4.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JOUT)

✓Walkthrough of JOUT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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JOUT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.18%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $46.57H $46.57L $45.63C $46.22VOL 24.6K

RES: $50.52SUP: $41.69SMA50: $44.61SMA200: $46.45

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JOUT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JOUT Butterfly Map → + Track JOUT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JOUT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JOUT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JOUT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JOUT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #421 of 1011 ⚔️ FNKO vs JOUT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (JOUT vs. FNKO, JAKK, BBW, ESCA)

Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) ranks #421 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #590 by equity capitalization ($484.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBW leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while BBW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.7% ROIC and 55.8% gross margin. BBW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with JOUT at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
JOUT ACTIVE Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A)	C-	59/100	—	35.1%	-4.5%	+2.30%	$484.4M	Benchmark Subject
FNKO Funko Inc. (Class A)	D-	40/100	—	—	-10.4%	+1.52%	$374.6M	/fnko-vs-jout →
JAKK JAKKS Pacific Inc.	E	33/100	—	96.0%	5.7%	-0.62%	$372.0M	/jakk-vs-jout →
BBW Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc.	A-	83/100	6.5x	55.8%	33.7%	+9.18%	$338.5M	/bbw-vs-jout →
ESCA Escalade Incorporated	B+	79/100	20.2x	26.9%	8.0%	+8.63%	$277.2M	/esca-vs-jout →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-03 • CIK 0000788329

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03), Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) reported GAAP revenue of $592.4M (-0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $592.8M , and -10.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$34.3M, operating cash flow of $56.2M, and free cash flow of $56.2M (+37.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, JOUT closed FY2025 with $600.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.79, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-10-03	$592.4M	-$34.3M	$56.2M	$56.2M	$600.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-27	$592.8M	-$26.5M	$41.0M	$41.0M	$612.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-29	$663.8M	$19.5M	$41.7M	$41.7M	—	—

3. JOUT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JOUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: JOUT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $46.22 (+2.30% 1D, market cap $484.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JOUT ranks #421 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JOUT compare to FNKO and JAKK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), JOUT carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.1%, and ROIC of -4.5%. By comparison, FNKO (Funko Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $374.6M) and JAKK (JAKKS Pacific Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.7%, cap $372.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JOUT?

Per JOUT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0000788329), Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) generated $592.4M in revenue (-0.1% YoY), -$34.3M in net income, and $56.2M in free cash flow against $600.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JOUT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JOUT last traded at $46.22 (+2.30% on volume of 32,742 shares), positioning the stock +3.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($44.61) and -0.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($46.45). Across its 52-week range of $35.65 to $53.54, JOUT sits at the 59.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($43.63 to $48.81).

JOUT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), JOUT converted $592.4M of revenue into a 35.1% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $56.2M in free cash flow (9.5% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: JOUT RQD Cockpit JOUT 12M Forecast JOUT Earnings & Move JOUT Dividends & DRIP JOUT Insiders & 13F JOUT Whale Options JOUT Profit Sankey JOUT News & Why