Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / JILL / forecast

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J. Jill Inc. (JILL) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$23.78 +4.07% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.01

J. Jill Inc. (JILL) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (69% profit margin, 26% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $353.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on JILL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JILL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, J. Jill Inc. (NYSE: JILL) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $23.78 (+4.07% 1D, market cap $353.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JILL ranks #158 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JILL compare to SGC and VRA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), JILL carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 68.7%, and ROIC of 26.3%. By comparison, SGC (Superior Group of Companies Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 28.7x, ROIC 3.6%, cap $201.2M) and VRA (Vera Bradley Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.3%, cap $190.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGC leads on earnings multiple (28.7x) while JILL leads on capital efficiency (26.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JILL?

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Per JILL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001687932), J. Jill Inc. generated $596.5M in revenue (-2.3% YoY), $27.9K in net income, and $25.2M in free cash flow against $450.2M in total assets and $71.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.01 (+0.97%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 4.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JILL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY JILL SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.2% FCF Margin ($25.2M FCF) & 68.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A-$24.40-0.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$24.21-5.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$22.80+4.3% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$23.78+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A- (78) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JILL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, JILL faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 66.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.00) or 200D SMA ($17.18) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($25.06) toward Bear Floor ($19.50).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JILL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “JILL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your JILL Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $23.78: 420.5 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $19.50

$8,200

$-1,800 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $25.06

$10,538

+$538 (+5.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $29.57

$12,435

+$2,435 (+24.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$26	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$28	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$22	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (JILL Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

JILL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +91.77%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $22.85H $23.78L $22.85C $23.78VOL 374.5K

RES: $27.54SUP: $22.72SMA50: $23.00SMA200: $17.18

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JILL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JILL Butterfly Map → + Track JILL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-7.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JILL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JILL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JILL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JILL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #158 of 1011 ⚔️ SGC vs JILL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (JILL vs. SGC, VRA, GOOS, REF)

Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, J. Jill Inc. (JILL) ranks #158 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #633 by equity capitalization ($353.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SGC leads on earnings valuation at 28.7x trailing P/E, while JILL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.3% ROIC and 68.7% gross margin. JILL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
JILL ACTIVE J. Jill Inc.	B-	70/100	—	68.7%	26.3%	+4.07%	$353.4M	Benchmark Subject
SGC Superior Group of Companies Inc.	C	63/100	28.7x	37.6%	3.6%	+0.96%	$201.2M	/sgc-vs-jill →
VRA Vera Bradley Inc.	D	46/100	—	46.4%	-22.3%	+4.08%	$190.5M	/vra-vs-jill →
GOOS Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares	D	48/100	—	—	—	+3.34%	$785.2M	/goos-vs-jill →
REF Reformation Inc.	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+2.66%	$958.3M	/ref-vs-jill →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001687932

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), J. Jill Inc. (JILL) reported GAAP revenue of $596.5M (-2.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $610.9M , and -1.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $27.9K, operating cash flow of $42.1M, and free cash flow of $25.2M (-50.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, JILL closed FY2025 with $450.2M in total assets against $71.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.03, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$596.5M	$27.9K	$42.1M	$25.2M	$450.2M	$71.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-01	$610.9M	$39.5K	$65.0M	$50.8M	$417.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-03	$608.0M	$36.2K	$63.3M	$63.3M	—	—

3. JILL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JILL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does JILL compare to SGC and VRA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JILL?

Where is JILL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JILL last traded at $23.78 (+4.07% on volume of 374,476 shares), positioning the stock +3.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($23.00) and +38.42% above its 200-day simple moving average ($17.18). Across its 52-week range of $10.40 to $25.14, JILL sits at the 90.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($22.09 to $25.47).

JILL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is JILL's 12-month stock price target?

J. Jill Inc. (JILL) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $25.06 (+5.4% from $23.78), with a bull-case target of $29.57 and a bear-case floor of $19.5.