Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares (GOOS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$8.04 +3.34% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.07

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares (GOOS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $785.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GOOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares (NYSE: GOOS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $8.04 (+3.34% 1D, market cap $785.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GOOS ranks #605 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GOOS compare to REF and CRI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), GOOS carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, REF (Reformation Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $958.3M) and CRI (Carter's Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 13.3x, ROIC 11.3%, cap $1.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRI leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while JILL leads on capital efficiency (26.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GOOS?
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For Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares (GOOS), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #605 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.07 (+0.41%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$15 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE GOOS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GOOS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GOOS SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.5% FCF Margin ($22.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$7.90+2.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$8.11-0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$8.09-0.6% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$8.04-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GOOS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GOOS currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.89) and Max Pain ($8.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.33.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GOOS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GOOS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
51.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE9% OF RANGE
L: $7$8.04H: $15
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on GOOS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (38)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GOOS
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GOOS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GOOS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
GOOS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.96%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $7.78H $8.04L $7.78C $8.04VOL 995.2K
RES: $8.23SUP: $6.19SMA50: $7.89SMA200: $9.93
$12.97$11.45$9.93$8.41$6.89RES $8.23SUP $6.19$8.042026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GOOS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GOOS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GOOS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GOOS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GOOS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #605 of 1011 ⚔️ REF vs GOOS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GOOS vs. REF, CRI, GIII, JILL)

Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares (GOOS) ranks #605 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #538 by equity capitalization ($785.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRI leads on earnings valuation at 13.3x trailing P/E, while JILL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.3% ROIC and 68.7% gross margin. JILL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with GOOS at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GOOS ACTIVE
Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares
D 48/100 — — — +3.34% $785.2M Benchmark Subject
REF
Reformation Inc.
C- 60/100 — — — +2.66% $958.3M /ref-vs-goos →
CRI
Carter's Inc.
C 63/100 13.3x 45.4% 11.3% +7.54% $1.23B /cri-vs-goos →
GIII
G-III Apparel Group LTD.
C 62/100 — 39.4% 6.3% +3.80% $1.30B /giii-vs-goos →
JILL
J. Jill Inc.
B- 70/100 — 68.7% 26.3% +4.07% $353.4M /jill-vs-goos →

2. GOOS Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares (GOOS) operates in Apparel (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $785.2M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. GOOS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GOOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares (NYSE: GOOS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $8.04 (+3.34% 1D, market cap $785.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GOOS ranks #605 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GOOS compare to REF and CRI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), GOOS carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, REF (Reformation Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $958.3M) and CRI (Carter's Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 13.3x, ROIC 11.3%, cap $1.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRI leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while JILL leads on capital efficiency (26.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GOOS?

For Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares (GOOS), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #605 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GOOS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GOOS last traded at $8.04 (+3.34% on volume of 995,237 shares), positioning the stock +1.90% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.89) and -19.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.93). Across its 52-week range of $7.36 to $14.60, GOOS sits at the 9.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($7.49 to $8.59).

GOOS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell GOOS stock right now?

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares (GOOS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 48/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is GOOS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

GOOS's 12-month base price target is $7.68 (range $5.99 to $15.33), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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