Stock Ratings / Financials / IVR / earnings

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INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC (IVR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.7% Move

Q: When is IVR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC (IVR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is IVR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.7% event move for IVR, spanning a range between $5.08 and $5.8.

$5.44 -0.18% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC (IVR) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $593.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IVR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.7% Swing Band

±$0.36 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

IVR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 61/100

Trailing EPS: $0.93 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (61/100)Model Risk Weight (39/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$101.3M	$157.1M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$59.9M	$183.2M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	-$15.9M	$237.8M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating IVR & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on IVR
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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IVR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.09%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $5.47H $5.62L $5.30C $5.44VOL 5.78M

RES: $6.45SUP: $4.97SMA50: $6.29SMA200: $7.67

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IVR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IVR Butterfly Map → + Track IVR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-11.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IVR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IVR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IVR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IVR)

Financials Rank #468 of 1096 ⚔️ ABR vs IVR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (IVR vs. ABR, PMT, ADAM, PSTL)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC (IVR) ranks #468 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #669 by equity capitalization ($593.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ADAM leads on earnings valuation at 4.4x trailing P/E, while IVR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.7% ROIC and — gross margin. PSTL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with IVR at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IVR ACTIVE INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC	C-	61/100	5.9x	—	12.7%	-0.18%	$593.5M	Benchmark Subject
ABR Arbor Realty Trust	D	47/100	—	—	5.6%	+2.37%	$563.4M	/abr-vs-ivr →
PMT PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of	D-	42/100	7.5x	—	4.6%	+1.51%	$643.6M	/pmt-vs-ivr →
ADAM Adamas Trust Inc.	D+	57/100	4.4x	—	8.9%	-7.71%	$648.4M	/adam-vs-ivr →
PSTL Postal Realty Trust Inc. (Class A)	C	65/100	46.4x	—	9.6%	+1.93%	$656.4M	/pstl-vs-ivr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001437071

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC (IVR) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $101.3M, operating cash flow of $157.1M, and free cash flow of $157.1M (-14.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, IVR closed FY2025 with $6.48B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$101.3M	$157.1M	$157.1M	$6.48B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$59.9M	$183.2M	$183.2M	$5.69B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$15.9M	$237.8M	$237.8M	—	—

3. IVR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IVR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC (NYSE: IVR) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $5.44 (-0.18% 1D, market cap $593.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, IVR ranks #468 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IVR compare to ABR and PMT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), IVR carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.7%. By comparison, ABR (Arbor Realty Trust) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.6%, cap $563.4M) and PMT (PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 7.5x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $643.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADAM leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while IVR leads on capital efficiency (12.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IVR?

Per IVR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001437071), INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC generated $0 in revenue, $101.3M in net income, and $157.1M in free cash flow against $6.48B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IVR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IVR last traded at $5.44 (-0.18% on volume of 3,669,711 shares), positioning the stock -13.51% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.29) and -29.07% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.67). Across its 52-week range of $5.22 to $9.50, IVR sits at the 5.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($5.08 to $5.80).