MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why IPI Stock slipped -1.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$31.04 -1.80% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.88
Intrepid Potash Inc (IPI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $417.7M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.88 (-0.51%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IPI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IPI SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 31% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$32.51-0.5% Next Q
59
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$32.36-3.5% Next Q
56
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$31.23-0.6% Next Q
54
CurrentGrade D$31.04-1.3% Hist 90D α
51
Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IPI Turnaround Squeeze
While IPI currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($35.39) and Max Pain ($32.59) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $52.86.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IPI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IPI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why IPI Stock slipped -1.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Intrepid Potash Inc (IPI) slipped -1.80% to $31.04, trading at 31% of its 52-week range ($22.55 – $50.34). Stretched risk/reward at 37x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 31% of its 52-week range ($22.55 – $50.34) with RSI-14 at 40 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.1% around $31.04 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $25.5M annual free cash flow.
Live IPI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IPI)
- ✓Walkthrough of IPI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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IPI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.56%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $31.18H $31.66L $30.72C $31.04VOL 155.5K
RES: $48.65SUP: $30.24SMA50: $35.39SMA200: $36.58
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
IPI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
28.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IPI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IPI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IPI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IPI)
Materials Rank #149 of 270
⚔️ ELVR vs IPI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (IPI vs. ELVR, GAU, PHOS, ABAT)
Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Intrepid Potash Inc (IPI) ranks #149 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #183 by equity capitalization ($417.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IPI leads on earnings valuation at 37.3x trailing P/E, while IPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.1% ROIC and — gross margin. PHOS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with IPI at 51/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPI
ACTIVE
Intrepid Potash Inc | D | 51/100 | 37.3x | — | 2.1% | -1.80% | $417.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| ELVR Elevra Lithium Limited American Depository Shares | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -11.99% | $455.5M | /elvr-vs-ipi → |
| GAU Galiano Gold Inc. | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -2.37% | $538.9M | /gau-vs-ipi → |
| PHOS First Phosphate Corp. | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -2.76% | $241.5M | /phos-vs-ipi → |
| ABAT American Battery Technology Company | E | 34/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | -1.27% | $222.4M | /abat-vs-ipi → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001421461In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Intrepid Potash Inc (IPI) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $11.2M, operating cash flow of $55.8M, and free cash flow of $25.5M (-24.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, IPI closed FY2025 with $632.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $11.2M | $55.8M | $25.5M | $632.2M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$212.8M | $72.5M | $33.8M | $594.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$35.7M | $43.2M | $43.2M | — | — |
3. IPI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs IPI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Intrepid Potash Inc (NYSE: IPI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $31.04 (-1.80% 1D, market cap $417.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, IPI ranks #149 in composite RQD confidence.
How does IPI compare to ELVR and GAU in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), IPI carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.1%. By comparison, ELVR (Elevra Lithium Limited American Depository Shares) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $455.5M) and GAU (Galiano Gold Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $538.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IPI leads on earnings multiple (37.3x) while IPI leads on capital efficiency (2.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IPI?
Per IPI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001421461), Intrepid Potash Inc generated $0 in revenue, $11.2M in net income, and $25.5M in free cash flow against $632.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is IPI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
IPI last traded at $31.04 (-1.80% on volume of 169,372 shares), positioning the stock -12.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($35.39) and -15.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($36.58). Across its 52-week range of $22.55 to $50.34, IPI sits at the 30.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($28.84 to $33.24).
IPI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is IPI stock moving today?
Why IPI Stock slipped -1.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 37x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.