Stock Ratings / Materials / IPI / earnings

ELVR (45) GAU (49) PHOS (47) ABAT (29) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Intrepid Potash Inc (IPI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.9% Move

$31.58 +1.74% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.62

Intrepid Potash Inc (IPI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $417.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on IPI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IPI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Intrepid Potash Inc (NYSE: IPI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $31.58 (+1.74% 1D, market cap $417.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, IPI ranks #110 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IPI compare to ELVR and GAU in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), IPI carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.1%. By comparison, ELVR (Elevra Lithium Limited American Depository Shares) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $455.5M) and GAU (Galiano Gold Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $538.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IPI leads on earnings multiple (37.3x) while IPI leads on capital efficiency (2.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IPI?

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Per IPI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001421461), Intrepid Potash Inc generated $0 in revenue, $11.2M in net income, and $25.5M in free cash flow against $632.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.62 (+0.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IPI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY IPI SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$32.50-0.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$32.22-2.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$31.37+0.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D$31.58-5.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IPI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IPI currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($35.23) and Max Pain ($33.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $52.86.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IPI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “IPI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.9% Swing Band

±$2.18 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

IPI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 49/100

Trailing EPS: $0.83 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (49/100)Model Risk Weight (51/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$11.2M	$25.5M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	-$212.8M	$33.8M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	-$35.7M	$43.2M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IPI)

✓Walkthrough of IPI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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IPI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.73%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $31.61H $31.61L $31.04C $31.58VOL 169.4K

RES: $48.80SUP: $30.21SMA50: $35.23SMA200: $36.56

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IPI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IPI Butterfly Map → + Track IPI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

28.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IPI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IPI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IPI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IPI)

Materials Rank #110 of 270 ⚔️ ELVR vs IPI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (IPI vs. ELVR, GAU, PHOS, ABAT)

Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Intrepid Potash Inc (IPI) ranks #110 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #183 by equity capitalization ($417.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IPI leads on earnings valuation at 37.3x trailing P/E, while IPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.1% ROIC and — gross margin. IPI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IPI ACTIVE Intrepid Potash Inc	D	49/100	37.3x	—	2.1%	+1.74%	$417.7M	Benchmark Subject
ELVR Elevra Lithium Limited American Depository Shares	D	45/100	—	—	—	-6.47%	$455.5M	/elvr-vs-ipi →
GAU Galiano Gold Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	—	-5.82%	$538.9M	/gau-vs-ipi →
PHOS First Phosphate Corp.	D	47/100	—	—	—	-3.48%	$241.5M	/phos-vs-ipi →
ABAT American Battery Technology Company	E	29/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-9.29%	$222.4M	/abat-vs-ipi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001421461

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Intrepid Potash Inc (IPI) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $11.2M, operating cash flow of $55.8M, and free cash flow of $25.5M (-24.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, IPI closed FY2025 with $632.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$11.2M	$55.8M	$25.5M	$632.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$212.8M	$72.5M	$33.8M	$594.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$35.7M	$43.2M	$43.2M	—	—

3. IPI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IPI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does IPI compare to ELVR and GAU in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IPI?

Where is IPI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IPI last traded at $31.58 (+1.74% on volume of 155,542 shares), positioning the stock -10.36% below its 50-day simple moving average ($35.23) and -13.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($36.56). Across its 52-week range of $22.55 to $50.34, IPI sits at the 32.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($29.40 to $33.76).

IPI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is IPI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Intrepid Potash Inc (IPI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is IPI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.9% event move for IPI, spanning a range between $29.4 and $33.76.

Direct Sub-Reports: IPI RQD Cockpit IPI 12M Forecast IPI Earnings & Move IPI Dividends & DRIP IPI Insiders & 13F IPI Whale Options IPI Profit Sankey IPI News & Why