Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / IPAR / forecast

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Interparfums Inc. (IPAR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$115.50 +1.10% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $116.01

Interparfums Inc. (IPAR) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 81/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (64% profit margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 81/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 8% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.6% hit rate) →

ROARABLE A- • BUY Cap $3.70B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $116.01 (+0.44%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 12.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 81/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 8% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.6% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • A-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk A

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+10.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IPAR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (81/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY IPAR SCORES 81/100 (A-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.36 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 74% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$112.21+3.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$115.69-0.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade A-$115.22+0.2% Next Q

Current

Grade A-$115.50+8.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (73) → A- (81)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IPAR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 81/100 (A-) score, IPAR faces multiple-compression risk if 17.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 61.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($114.49) or 200D SMA ($104.53) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($127.45) toward Bear Floor ($94.71).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IPAR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “IPAR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 81%NO 19%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your IPAR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $115.50: 86.6 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $94.71

$8,200

$-1,800 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $127.45

$11,035

+$1,035 (+10.3%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $150.39

$13,021

+$3,021 (+30.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (43 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 32● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$133	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	STRONG BUY	$141	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$111	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (IPAR Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

IPAR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +26.62%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $117.5H $118.6L $115.5C $115.5VOL 271.9K

RES: $118.4SUP: $113.3SMA50: $114.5SMA200: $104.5

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IPAR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IPAR Butterfly Map → + Track IPAR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

10.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IPAR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IPAR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IPAR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IPAR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #18 of 1011 ⚔️ COTY vs IPAR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (IPAR vs. COTY, ELF, SCL, EPC)

Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Interparfums Inc. (IPAR) ranks #18 by composite RQD confidence (81/100, grade A-) and #330 by equity capitalization ($3.70B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IPAR leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while IPAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.3% ROIC and 63.6% gross margin. IPAR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 81/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IPAR ACTIVE Interparfums Inc.	A-	81/100	17.8x	63.6%	21.3%	+1.10%	$3.70B	Benchmark Subject
COTY Coty Inc. (Class A)	D	50/100	—	64.8%	3.1%	-0.30%	$2.95B	/coty-vs-ipar →
ELF e.l.f. Beauty Inc.	C+	69/100	—	70.7%	4.0%	-2.13%	$6.66B	/elf-vs-ipar →
SCL Stepan Company	D+	55/100	33.9x	11.6%	4.3%	+2.31%	$1.59B	/scl-vs-ipar →
EPC Edgewell Personal Care Company	C-	60/100	51.8x	41.6%	2.5%	+3.25%	$1.32B	/epc-vs-ipar →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000822663

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Interparfums Inc. (IPAR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.49B (+2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.45B , and +13.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $208.0M, operating cash flow of $214.9M, and free cash flow of $190.5M (+4.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, IPAR closed FY2025 with $1.59B in total assets against $121.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.36, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.49B	$208.0M	$214.9M	$190.5M	$1.59B	$121.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.45B	$203.0M	$187.6M	$182.9M	$1.41B	$115.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.32B	$188.0M	$105.8M	$105.8M	—	—

3. IPAR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IPAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Interparfums Inc. (NASDAQ: IPAR) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 81/100 at a spot price of $115.50 (+1.10% 1D, market cap $3.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, IPAR ranks #18 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IPAR compare to COTY and ELF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), IPAR carries a Roarable A- (81/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.8x, gross margin of 63.6%, and ROIC of 21.3%. By comparison, COTY (Coty Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.1%, cap $2.95B) and ELF (e.l.f. Beauty Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.0%, cap $6.66B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IPAR leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while IPAR leads on capital efficiency (21.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IPAR?

Per IPAR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000822663), Interparfums Inc. generated $1.49B in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $208.0M in net income, and $190.5M in free cash flow against $1.59B in total assets and $121.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (64% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IPAR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IPAR last traded at $115.50 (+1.10% on volume of 211,709 shares), positioning the stock +0.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($114.49) and +10.49% above its 200-day simple moving average ($104.53). Across its 52-week range of $77.21 to $129.29, IPAR sits at the 73.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($109.61 to $121.39).

IPAR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is IPAR's 12-month stock price target?

Interparfums Inc. (IPAR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $127.45 (+10.3% from $115.50), with a bull-case target of $150.39 and a bear-case floor of $94.71.