MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why IIPR Stock advanced +1.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$53.46 +1.14% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.47
Innovative Industrial Properties Inc. (IIPR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $1.47B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.47 (+0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 74.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IIPR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IIPR SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 43% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$51.83+1.1% Next Q
57
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$52.39+3.5% Next Q
60
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$54.21-1.4% Next Q
62
CurrentGrade C$53.46+1.3% Hist 90D α
65
Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IIPR Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 65/100 (C) score, IIPR faces multiple-compression risk if 12.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($54.42) or 200D SMA ($55.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($55.14) toward Bear Floor ($43.01).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IIPR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IIPR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why IIPR Stock advanced +1.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Innovative Industrial Properties Inc. (IIPR) advanced +1.14% to $53.46, trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($44.58 – $65.38). Solid steady margins (5% return on capital), mixed timing at 13x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($44.58 – $65.38) with RSI-14 at 43.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.2% around $53.46 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $198.2M annual free cash flow.
Live IIPR Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (IIPR Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
IIPR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.46%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $53.50H $53.95L $51.86C $53.46VOL 310.0K
RES: $71.47SUP: $46.65SMA50: $54.42SMA200: $55.06
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
IIPR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
3.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -13.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IIPR today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IIPR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IIPR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IIPR)
Financials Rank #320 of 1096
⚔️ EFC vs IIPR Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (IIPR vs. EFC, BXDC, FOR, OPEN)
Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Innovative Industrial Properties Inc. (IIPR) ranks #320 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #493 by equity capitalization ($1.47B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FOR leads on earnings valuation at 7.6x trailing P/E, while FOR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.4% ROIC and — gross margin. IIPR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IIPR
ACTIVE
Innovative Industrial Properties Inc. | C | 65/100 | 12.5x | — | 5.4% | +1.14% | $1.47B | Benchmark Subject |
| EFC Ellington Financial Inc. | D | 51/100 | 10.1x | — | 8.2% | +0.77% | $1.52B | /efc-vs-iipr → |
| BXDC Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. | C | 62/100 | — | — | — | +0.37% | $1.63B | /bxdc-vs-iipr → |
| FOR Forestar Group Inc | D- | 42/100 | 7.6x | — | 9.4% | -3.43% | $1.28B | /for-vs-iipr → |
| OPEN Opendoor Technologies Inc | D | 44/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -0.52% | $1.85B | /open-vs-iipr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001677576In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Innovative Industrial Properties Inc. (IIPR) reported GAAP revenue of $266.0M (-13.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $308.5M , and -14.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $118.2M, operating cash flow of $198.2M, and free cash flow of $198.2M (-23.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, IIPR closed FY2025 with $2.37B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $266.0M | $118.2M | $198.2M | $198.2M | $2.37B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $308.5M | $161.7M | $258.4M | $258.4M | $2.38B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $309.5M | $165.6M | $255.5M | $255.5M | — | — |
3. IIPR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs IIPR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Innovative Industrial Properties Inc. (NYSE: IIPR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $53.46 (+1.14% 1D, market cap $1.47B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, IIPR ranks #320 in composite RQD confidence.
How does IIPR compare to EFC and BXDC in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), IIPR carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, EFC (Ellington Financial Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 10.1x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $1.52B) and BXDC (Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.63B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FOR leads on earnings multiple (7.6x) while FOR leads on capital efficiency (9.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IIPR?
Per IIPR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001677576), Innovative Industrial Properties Inc. generated $266.0M in revenue (-13.8% YoY), $118.2M in net income, and $198.2M in free cash flow against $2.37B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is IIPR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
IIPR last traded at $53.46 (+1.14% on volume of 237,616 shares), positioning the stock -1.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($54.42) and -2.91% below its 200-day simple moving average ($55.06). Across its 52-week range of $44.58 to $65.38, IIPR sits at the 42.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($50.68 to $56.24).
IIPR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is IIPR stock moving today?
Why IIPR Stock advanced +1.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (5% return on capital), mixed timing at 13x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.