MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why IE Stock dropped -4.64% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$8.42 -4.64% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.33
Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (IE) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $1.34B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.33 (-1.03%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IE SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (38% of score)
Altman Z-Score 11.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (27% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 65.3% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$10.19-15.3% Next Q
45
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$8.63-8.9% Next Q
42
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$7.86+7.1% Next Q
40
CurrentGrade D-$8.42-8.1% Hist 90D α
37
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IE Turnaround Squeeze
While IE currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.79) and Max Pain ($8.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.63.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why IE Stock dropped -4.64% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (IE) dropped -4.64% to $8.42, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($7.44 – $21.55). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($7.44 – $21.55) with RSI-14 at 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $8.42 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 65.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live IE Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IE)
- ✓Walkthrough of IE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
IE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.37%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $8.03H $8.42L $7.50C $8.42VOL 3.00M
RES: $10.73SUP: $7.40SMA50: $9.79SMA200: $12.11
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
IE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +11.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IE today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IE)
Materials Rank #231 of 270
⚔️ IMC vs IE Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (IE vs. IMC, TMC, CRML, NEXA)
Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (IE) ranks #231 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #122 by equity capitalization ($1.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IE leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 65.3% gross margin. CRML currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with IE at 37/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IE
ACTIVE
Ivanhoe Electric Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | 65.3% | -35.0% | -4.64% | $1.34B | Benchmark Subject |
| IMC IMC Rare Earths Ltd | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +8.01% | $1.26B | /imc-vs-ie → |
| TMC TMC the metals company Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +1.43% | $1.25B | /tmc-vs-ie → |
| CRML Critical Metals Corp. | C | 63/100 | — | — | — | +2.05% | $1.18B | /crml-vs-ie → |
| NEXA Nexa Resources S.A. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | +1.52% | $1.59B | /nexa-vs-ie → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001879016In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (IE) reported GAAP revenue of $3.2M (+11.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.9M , and -16.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$105.9M, operating cash flow of -$89.2M, and free cash flow of -$90.4M (+45.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, IE closed FY2025 with $483.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 11.21, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $3.2M | -$105.9M | -$89.2M | -$90.4M | $483.3M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.9M | -$128.6M | -$162.1M | -$165.0M | $374.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $3.9M | -$199.4M | -$150.5M | -$150.5M | — | — |
3. IE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs IE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (NYSE: IE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $8.42 (-4.64% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, IE ranks #231 in composite RQD confidence.
How does IE compare to IMC and TMC in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), IE carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 65.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, IMC (IMC Rare Earths Ltd) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.26B) and TMC (TMC the metals company Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IE leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IE?
Per IE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001879016), Ivanhoe Electric Inc. generated $3.2M in revenue (+11.8% YoY), -$105.9M in net income, and -$90.4M in free cash flow against $483.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is IE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
IE last traded at $8.42 (-4.64% on volume of 2,001,614 shares), positioning the stock -13.99% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.79) and -30.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.11). Across its 52-week range of $7.44 to $21.55, IE sits at the 6.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.37 to $9.47).
IE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is IE stock moving today?
Why IE Stock dropped -4.64% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.