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Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (IE) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$8.42 -4.64% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.33

Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (IE) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.34B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.33 (-1.03%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY IE SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (38% of score)

Altman Z-Score 11.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 65.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$10.19-15.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$8.63-8.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$7.86+7.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$8.42-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IE currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.79) and Max Pain ($8.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.63.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “IE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your IE Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $8.42: 1187.6 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $5.94

$7,055

$-2,945 (-29.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $7.62

$9,050

$-950 (-9.5%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $22.63

$26,876

+$16,876 (+168.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$8	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$21	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$7	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IE)

✓Walkthrough of IE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

IE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.37%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $8.03H $8.42L $7.50C $8.42VOL 3.00M

RES: $10.73SUP: $7.40SMA50: $9.79SMA200: $12.11

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IE Butterfly Map → + Track IE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IE)

Materials Rank #231 of 270 ⚔️ IMC vs IE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (IE vs. IMC, TMC, CRML, NEXA)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (IE) ranks #231 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #122 by equity capitalization ($1.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IE leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 65.3% gross margin. CRML currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with IE at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IE ACTIVE Ivanhoe Electric Inc.	D-	37/100	—	65.3%	-35.0%	-4.64%	$1.34B	Benchmark Subject
IMC IMC Rare Earths Ltd	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+8.01%	$1.26B	/imc-vs-ie →
TMC TMC the metals company Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	-35.0%	+1.43%	$1.25B	/tmc-vs-ie →
CRML Critical Metals Corp.	C	63/100	—	—	—	+2.05%	$1.18B	/crml-vs-ie →
NEXA Nexa Resources S.A.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+1.52%	$1.59B	/nexa-vs-ie →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001879016

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (IE) reported GAAP revenue of $3.2M (+11.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.9M , and -16.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$105.9M, operating cash flow of -$89.2M, and free cash flow of -$90.4M (+45.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, IE closed FY2025 with $483.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 11.21, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.2M	-$105.9M	-$89.2M	-$90.4M	$483.3M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.9M	-$128.6M	-$162.1M	-$165.0M	$374.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.9M	-$199.4M	-$150.5M	-$150.5M	—	—

3. IE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (NYSE: IE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $8.42 (-4.64% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, IE ranks #231 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IE compare to IMC and TMC in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), IE carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 65.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, IMC (IMC Rare Earths Ltd) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.26B) and TMC (TMC the metals company Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IE leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IE?

Per IE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001879016), Ivanhoe Electric Inc. generated $3.2M in revenue (+11.8% YoY), -$105.9M in net income, and -$90.4M in free cash flow against $483.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IE last traded at $8.42 (-4.64% on volume of 2,001,614 shares), positioning the stock -13.99% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.79) and -30.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.11). Across its 52-week range of $7.44 to $21.55, IE sits at the 6.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.37 to $9.47).

IE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is IE's 12-month stock price target?

Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (IE) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $7.62 (-9.5% from $8.42), with a bull-case target of $22.63 and a bear-case floor of $5.94.

Is IE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates IE D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 37/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: IE RQD Cockpit IE 12M Forecast IE Earnings & Move IE Dividends & DRIP IE Insiders & 13F IE Whale Options IE Profit Sankey IE News & Why