Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 44.2% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While IBG currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.93) and Max Pain ($1.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.64.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) dropped -6.37% to $0.96, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.71 – $16.8). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Proposed merger with (Nasdaq:IBG) to be completed following receipt of required approvals, with the combined parent to be renamed BlockFuel Energy LimitedSteinman 1-23 drilling expected to commence in early December 2026
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Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -5.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IBG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IBG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) ranks #135 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #136 by equity capitalization ($4.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IBG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IBG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 44.2% gross margin. AMSS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with IBG at 34/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBG
ACTIVE
Innovation Beverage Group Limited | E | 34/100 | — | 44.2% | -35.0% | -6.37% | $4.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| AMSS AMASS Brands Inc. | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | — | -3.11% | $3.5M | /amss-vs-ibg → |
| YHC LQR House Inc. | E | 30/100 | — | 10.8% | -35.0% | -0.41% | $3.2M | /yhc-vs-ibg → |
| IPST IP Strategy Holdings Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | 54.9% | -35.0% | +1.94% | $2.6M | /ipst-vs-ibg → |
| REED Reed's Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | 20.4% | -35.0% | -6.33% | $8.2M | /reed-vs-ibg → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) reported GAAP revenue of $2.8M (-5.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.9M , and -11.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$6.2M, operating cash flow of -$1.6M, and free cash flow of -$1.6M (+18.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, IBG closed FY2025 with $1.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.8M | -$6.2M | -$1.6M | -$1.6M | $1.3M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.9M | -$4.7M | -$1.9M | -$1.9M | $3.8M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $3.1M | -$2.0M | $57.5K | $57.5K | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Innovation Beverage Group Limited (NASDAQ: IBG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $0.96 (-6.37% 1D, market cap $4.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, IBG ranks #135 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), IBG carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 44.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AMSS (AMASS Brands Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.5M) and YHC (LQR House Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IBG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IBG leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
Per IBG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001924482), Innovation Beverage Group Limited generated $2.8M in revenue (-5.1% YoY), -$6.2M in net income, and -$1.6M in free cash flow against $1.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
IBG last traded at $0.96 (-6.37% on volume of 113,033 shares), positioning the stock +3.23% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.93) and -42.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.66). Across its 52-week range of $0.71 to $16.80, IBG sits at the 1.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.08).
Why IBG Stock dropped -6.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.