Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / IBG / financials

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Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$0.96 -6.37% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.95

Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $4.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.95 (-1.34%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IBG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY IBG SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 44.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$0.88-8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$0.81+7.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$0.87+10.3% Next Q

Current

Grade E$0.96-8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (26) → E (34)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IBG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IBG currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.93) and Max Pain ($1.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.64.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IBG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “IBG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How IBG Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $3.1M

FY24

Rev $2.9M

FY25

Rev $2.8M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$2.8M	44.2%	-80%	-$6.2M	-$1.6M	-45%
FY 2024	$2.9M	76.1%	-80%	-$4.7M	-$1.9M	-45%
FY 2023	$3.1M	44.2%	-68%	-$2.0M	$57.5K	-35%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IBG)

✓Walkthrough of IBG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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IBG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.51%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $0.89H $0.97L $0.85C $0.96VOL 37.6K

RES: $1.05SUP: $0.68SMA50: $0.93SMA200: $1.66

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IBG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IBG Butterfly Map → + Track IBG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IBG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IBG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IBG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IBG)

Consumer Staples Rank #135 of 146 ⚔️ AMSS vs IBG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (IBG vs. AMSS, YHC, IPST, REED)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) ranks #135 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #136 by equity capitalization ($4.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IBG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IBG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 44.2% gross margin. AMSS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with IBG at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IBG ACTIVE Innovation Beverage Group Limited	E	34/100	—	44.2%	-35.0%	-6.37%	$4.0M	Benchmark Subject
AMSS AMASS Brands Inc.	D+	54/100	—	—	—	-3.11%	$3.5M	/amss-vs-ibg →
YHC LQR House Inc.	E	30/100	—	10.8%	-35.0%	-0.41%	$3.2M	/yhc-vs-ibg →
IPST IP Strategy Holdings Inc.	D-	40/100	—	54.9%	-35.0%	+1.94%	$2.6M	/ipst-vs-ibg →
REED Reed's Inc.	E	34/100	—	20.4%	-35.0%	-6.33%	$8.2M	/reed-vs-ibg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001924482

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) reported GAAP revenue of $2.8M (-5.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.9M , and -11.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$6.2M, operating cash flow of -$1.6M, and free cash flow of -$1.6M (+18.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, IBG closed FY2025 with $1.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.8M	-$6.2M	-$1.6M	-$1.6M	$1.3M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.9M	-$4.7M	-$1.9M	-$1.9M	$3.8M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.1M	-$2.0M	$57.5K	$57.5K	—	—

3. IBG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IBG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Innovation Beverage Group Limited (NASDAQ: IBG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $0.96 (-6.37% 1D, market cap $4.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, IBG ranks #135 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IBG compare to AMSS and YHC in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), IBG carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 44.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AMSS (AMASS Brands Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.5M) and YHC (LQR House Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IBG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IBG leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBG?

Per IBG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001924482), Innovation Beverage Group Limited generated $2.8M in revenue (-5.1% YoY), -$6.2M in net income, and -$1.6M in free cash flow against $1.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IBG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IBG last traded at $0.96 (-6.37% on volume of 113,033 shares), positioning the stock +3.23% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.93) and -42.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.66). Across its 52-week range of $0.71 to $16.80, IBG sits at the 1.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.08).

IBG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), IBG converted $2.8M of revenue into a 44.2% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: IBG RQD Cockpit IBG 12M Forecast IBG Earnings & Move IBG Dividends & DRIP IBG Insiders & 13F IBG Whale Options IBG Profit Sankey IBG News & Why