MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why HYLN Stock advanced +1.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$3.43 +1.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.43
Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $612.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.43 (+0.13%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HYLN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HYLN SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (31% of score)
Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 4.9% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$3.84-20.6% Next Q
44
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$3.05-3.3% Next Q
41
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$2.95+16.3% Next Q
39
CurrentGrade D-$3.43-8.3% Hist 90D α
36
Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HYLN Turnaround Squeeze
While HYLN currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.69) and Max Pain ($3.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.91.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HYLN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HYLN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why HYLN Stock advanced +1.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) advanced +1.78% to $3.43, trading at 27% of its 52-week range ($1.56 – $8.49). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-31% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 27% of its 52-week range ($1.56 – $8.49) with RSI-14 at 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $3.43 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 4.9% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live HYLN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HYLN)
- ✓Walkthrough of HYLN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HYLN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +79.58%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $3.23H $3.43L $3.09C $3.43VOL 1.48M
RES: $4.07SUP: $2.90SMA50: $3.69SMA200: $3.44
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
HYLN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +130.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HYLN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HYLN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HYLN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HYLN)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #886 of 1011
⚔️ MLR vs HYLN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HYLN vs. MLR, BLBD, SCAG, GP)
Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) ranks #886 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #569 by equity capitalization ($612.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BLBD leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while BLBD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 20.5% gross margin. BLBD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with HYLN at 36/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HYLN
ACTIVE
Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) | D- | 36/100 | — | 4.9% | -30.6% | +1.78% | $612.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| MLR Miller Industries Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | 25.7x | 15.2% | 5.5% | +0.75% | $591.8M | /mlr-vs-hyln → |
| BLBD Blue Bird Corporation | A- | 81/100 | 13.8x | 20.5% | 85.0% | -1.43% | $1.77B | /blbd-vs-hyln → |
| SCAG Scage Future | D | 50/100 | — | -6.4% | — | +2.32% | $10.6M | /scag-vs-hyln → |
| GP GreenPower Motor Company Inc. | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | -8.46% | $2.5M | /gp-vs-hyln → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001759631In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.5M (+130.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.5M , and +417.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$57.2M, operating cash flow of -$46.5M, and free cash flow of -$70.3M (+4.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, HYLN closed FY2025 with $203.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $3.5M | -$57.2M | -$46.5M | -$70.3M | $203.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.5M | -$52.0M | -$56.7M | -$73.3M | $263.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $672.0K | -$123.5M | -$117.0M | -$117.0M | — | — |
3. HYLN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs HYLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: HYLN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $3.43 (+1.78% 1D, market cap $612.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HYLN ranks #886 in composite RQD confidence.
How does HYLN compare to MLR and BLBD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), HYLN carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 4.9%, and ROIC of -30.6%. By comparison, MLR (Miller Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $591.8M) and BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation) posts a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLBD leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while BLBD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HYLN?
Per HYLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001759631), Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) generated $3.5M in revenue (+130.3% YoY), -$57.2M in net income, and -$70.3M in free cash flow against $203.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is HYLN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
HYLN last traded at $3.43 (+1.78% on volume of 1,085,703 shares), positioning the stock -7.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.69) and -0.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.44). Across its 52-week range of $1.56 to $8.49, HYLN sits at the 27.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.00 to $3.86).
HYLN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is HYLN stock moving today?
Why HYLN Stock advanced +1.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-31% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.