Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / HYLN / financials

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Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$3.43 +1.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.43

Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $612.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.43 (+0.13%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HYLN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HYLN SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 4.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$3.84-20.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$3.05-3.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.95+16.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$3.43-8.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HYLN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HYLN currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.69) and Max Pain ($3.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.91.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HYLN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HYLN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How HYLN Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $672.0K

FY24

Rev $1.5M

FY25

Rev $3.5M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$3.5M	4.9%	-80%	-$57.2M	-$70.3M	-30.6%
FY 2024	$1.5M	6.2%	-80%	-$52.0M	-$73.3M	-21.6%
FY 2023	$672.0K	8%	-80%	-$123.5M	-$117.0M	-30.6%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HYLN)

✓Walkthrough of HYLN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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HYLN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +79.58%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $3.23H $3.43L $3.09C $3.43VOL 1.48M

RES: $4.07SUP: $2.90SMA50: $3.69SMA200: $3.44

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HYLN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HYLN Butterfly Map → + Track HYLN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +130.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HYLN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HYLN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HYLN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HYLN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #886 of 1011 ⚔️ MLR vs HYLN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HYLN vs. MLR, BLBD, SCAG, GP)

Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) ranks #886 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #569 by equity capitalization ($612.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BLBD leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while BLBD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 20.5% gross margin. BLBD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with HYLN at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HYLN ACTIVE Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A)	D-	36/100	—	4.9%	-30.6%	+1.78%	$612.6M	Benchmark Subject
MLR Miller Industries Inc.	D+	58/100	25.7x	15.2%	5.5%	+0.75%	$591.8M	/mlr-vs-hyln →
BLBD Blue Bird Corporation	A-	81/100	13.8x	20.5%	85.0%	-1.43%	$1.77B	/blbd-vs-hyln →
SCAG Scage Future	D	50/100	—	-6.4%	—	+2.32%	$10.6M	/scag-vs-hyln →
GP GreenPower Motor Company Inc.	D	47/100	—	—	—	-8.46%	$2.5M	/gp-vs-hyln →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001759631

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.5M (+130.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.5M , and +417.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$57.2M, operating cash flow of -$46.5M, and free cash flow of -$70.3M (+4.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, HYLN closed FY2025 with $203.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.5M	-$57.2M	-$46.5M	-$70.3M	$203.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.5M	-$52.0M	-$56.7M	-$73.3M	$263.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$672.0K	-$123.5M	-$117.0M	-$117.0M	—	—

3. HYLN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HYLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: HYLN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $3.43 (+1.78% 1D, market cap $612.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HYLN ranks #886 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HYLN compare to MLR and BLBD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), HYLN carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 4.9%, and ROIC of -30.6%. By comparison, MLR (Miller Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $591.8M) and BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation) posts a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLBD leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while BLBD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HYLN?

Per HYLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001759631), Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) generated $3.5M in revenue (+130.3% YoY), -$57.2M in net income, and -$70.3M in free cash flow against $203.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HYLN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HYLN last traded at $3.43 (+1.78% on volume of 1,085,703 shares), positioning the stock -7.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.69) and -0.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.44). Across its 52-week range of $1.56 to $8.49, HYLN sits at the 27.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.00 to $3.86).

HYLN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Hyliion Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HYLN)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), HYLN converted $3.5M of revenue into a 4.9% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: HYLN RQD Cockpit HYLN 12M Forecast HYLN Earnings & Move HYLN Dividends & DRIP HYLN Insiders & 13F HYLN Whale Options HYLN Profit Sankey HYLN News & Why