MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why HOLO Stock dropped -3.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.18 -3.28% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.17
MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $27.0M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.17 (-0.78%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 13.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HOLO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HOLO SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (29% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.9% FCF Margin ($7.9M FCF) & 21.3% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)
Altman Z-Score 2.55 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$1.45-18.6% Next Q
49
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$1.18-1.7% Next Q
46
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$1.16+1.7% Next Q
44
CurrentGrade D-$1.18-7.2% Hist 90D α
41
Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HOLO Turnaround Squeeze
While HOLO currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.54) and Max Pain ($1.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.75.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HOLO• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HOLO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why HOLO Stock dropped -3.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) dropped -3.28% to $1.18, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.1 – $4.52). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.1 – $4.52) with RSI-14 at 26.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.18 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 21.3% gross margin and $7.9M annual free cash flow.
Live HOLO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HOLO)
- ✓Walkthrough of HOLO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HOLO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.61%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.15H $1.18L $1.10C $1.18VOL 188.1K
RES: $1.85SUP: $1.06SMA50: $1.54SMA200: $1.83
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
HOLO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
33.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +38.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HOLO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HOLO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HOLO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HOLO)
Technology Rank #539 of 714
⚔️ TEAD vs HOLO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (HOLO vs. TEAD, SST, GOAI, JG)
Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) ranks #539 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #598 by equity capitalization ($27.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HOLO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GOAI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 67.0% ROIC and — gross margin. GOAI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with HOLO at 41/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOLO
ACTIVE
MicroCloud Hologram Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | 21.3% | 0.2% | -3.28% | $27.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| TEAD Teads Holding Co. | D- | 41/100 | — | 33.0% | -35.0% | -12.20% | $29.9M | /tead-vs-holo → |
| SST System1 Inc. (Class A) | E | 19/100 | — | 37.7% | -28.5% | -2.21% | $18.6M | /sst-vs-holo → |
| GOAI Eva Live Inc. | C | 62/100 | — | — | 67.0% | +8.88% | $40.1M | /goai-vs-holo → |
| JG Aurora Mobile Limited | D | 49/100 | — | 67.2% | 4.0% | -12.21% | $40.3M | /jg-vs-holo → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001841209In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) reported GAAP revenue of $56.5M (+38.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $40.8M , and +95.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$7.0M, operating cash flow of $7.9M, and free cash flow of $7.9M (+156.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, HOLO closed FY2025 with $395.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.55, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $56.5M | -$7.0M | $7.9M | $7.9M | $395.3M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $40.8M | -$9.0M | -$13.8M | -$13.8M | $224.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $28.9M | -$11.6M | -$3.9M | -$3.9M | — | — |
3. HOLO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs HOLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (NASDAQ: HOLO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $1.18 (-3.28% 1D, market cap $27.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, HOLO ranks #539 in composite RQD confidence.
How does HOLO compare to TEAD and SST in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), HOLO carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.3%, and ROIC of 0.2%. By comparison, TEAD (Teads Holding Co.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.9M) and SST (System1 Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.5%, cap $18.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOLO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GOAI leads on capital efficiency (67.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOLO?
Per HOLO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001841209), MicroCloud Hologram Inc. generated $56.5M in revenue (+38.6% YoY), -$7.0M in net income, and $7.9M in free cash flow against $395.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is HOLO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
HOLO last traded at $1.18 (-3.28% on volume of 87,767 shares), positioning the stock -23.38% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.54) and -35.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.83). Across its 52-week range of $1.10 to $4.52, HOLO sits at the 2.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.03 to $1.33).
HOLO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is HOLO stock moving today?
Why HOLO Stock dropped -3.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.