MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.18 -3.28% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.17

MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $27.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.17 (-0.78%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 13.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE HOLO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HOLO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HOLO SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.9% FCF Margin ($7.9M FCF) & 21.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.55 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$1.45-18.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$1.18-1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$1.16+1.7% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$1.18-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HOLO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HOLO currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.54) and Max Pain ($1.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.75.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HOLO• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HOLO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (16.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $45,269

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $815/yr
$11.6K
Yr 1
$13.5K
Yr 2
$15.7K
Yr 3
$18.3K
Yr 4
$21.3K
Yr 5
$24.7K
Yr 6
$28.8K
Yr 7
$33.5K
Yr 8
$38.9K
Yr 9
$45.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HOLO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HOLO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HOLO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.61%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.15H $1.18L $1.10C $1.18VOL 188.1K
RES: $1.85SUP: $1.06SMA50: $1.54SMA200: $1.83
$3.64$2.95$2.26$1.57$0.89RES $1.85SUP $1.06$1.182026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HOLO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
33.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +38.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HOLO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HOLO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HOLO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HOLO)

Technology Rank #539 of 714 ⚔️ TEAD vs HOLO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (HOLO vs. TEAD, SST, GOAI, JG)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) ranks #539 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #598 by equity capitalization ($27.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HOLO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GOAI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 67.0% ROIC and — gross margin. GOAI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with HOLO at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HOLO ACTIVE
MicroCloud Hologram Inc.
D- 41/100 — 21.3% 0.2% -3.28% $27.0M Benchmark Subject
TEAD
Teads Holding Co.
D- 41/100 — 33.0% -35.0% -12.20% $29.9M /tead-vs-holo →
SST
System1 Inc. (Class A)
E 19/100 — 37.7% -28.5% -2.21% $18.6M /sst-vs-holo →
GOAI
Eva Live Inc.
C 62/100 — — 67.0% +8.88% $40.1M /goai-vs-holo →
JG
Aurora Mobile Limited
D 49/100 — 67.2% 4.0% -12.21% $40.3M /jg-vs-holo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001841209

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) reported GAAP revenue of $56.5M (+38.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $40.8M , and +95.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$7.0M, operating cash flow of $7.9M, and free cash flow of $7.9M (+156.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, HOLO closed FY2025 with $395.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.55, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $56.5M -$7.0M $7.9M $7.9M $395.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $40.8M -$9.0M -$13.8M -$13.8M $224.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $28.9M -$11.6M -$3.9M -$3.9M — —

3. HOLO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HOLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (NASDAQ: HOLO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $1.18 (-3.28% 1D, market cap $27.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, HOLO ranks #539 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HOLO compare to TEAD and SST in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), HOLO carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.3%, and ROIC of 0.2%. By comparison, TEAD (Teads Holding Co.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.9M) and SST (System1 Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.5%, cap $18.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOLO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GOAI leads on capital efficiency (67.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOLO?

Per HOLO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001841209), MicroCloud Hologram Inc. generated $56.5M in revenue (+38.6% YoY), -$7.0M in net income, and $7.9M in free cash flow against $395.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HOLO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HOLO last traded at $1.18 (-3.28% on volume of 87,767 shares), positioning the stock -23.38% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.54) and -35.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.83). Across its 52-week range of $1.10 to $4.52, HOLO sits at the 2.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.03 to $1.33).

HOLO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does HOLO pay a dividend and is it safe?

MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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