MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.18 -3.28% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.17

MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $27.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.17 (-0.78%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 13.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE HOLO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HOLO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HOLO SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.9% FCF Margin ($7.9M FCF) & 21.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.55 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$1.45-18.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$1.18-1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$1.16+1.7% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$1.18-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HOLO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HOLO currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.54) and Max Pain ($1.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.75.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HOLO• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HOLO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.15 Expected Swing
$1.03 (-12.5%)Spot $1.18$1.33 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

HOLO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 41/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 38.6%

Model Bullish Setup (41/100)Model Risk Weight (59/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$56.5M-$7.0M$7.9M21.3%
FY 20242024-12-31$40.8M-$9.0M-$13.8M22.5%
FY 20232023-12-31$28.9M-$11.6M-$3.9M21.3%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HOLO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HOLO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HOLO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.61%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.15H $1.18L $1.10C $1.18VOL 188.1K
RES: $1.85SUP: $1.06SMA50: $1.54SMA200: $1.83
$3.64$2.95$2.26$1.57$0.89RES $1.85SUP $1.06$1.182026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HOLO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
33.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +38.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HOLO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HOLO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HOLO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HOLO)

Technology Rank #539 of 714 ⚔️ TEAD vs HOLO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (HOLO vs. TEAD, SST, GOAI, JG)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) ranks #539 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #598 by equity capitalization ($27.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HOLO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GOAI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 67.0% ROIC and — gross margin. GOAI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with HOLO at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HOLO ACTIVE
MicroCloud Hologram Inc.
D- 41/100 — 21.3% 0.2% -3.28% $27.0M Benchmark Subject
TEAD
Teads Holding Co.
D- 41/100 — 33.0% -35.0% -12.20% $29.9M /tead-vs-holo →
SST
System1 Inc. (Class A)
E 19/100 — 37.7% -28.5% -2.21% $18.6M /sst-vs-holo →
GOAI
Eva Live Inc.
C 62/100 — — 67.0% +8.88% $40.1M /goai-vs-holo →
JG
Aurora Mobile Limited
D 49/100 — 67.2% 4.0% -12.21% $40.3M /jg-vs-holo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001841209

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) reported GAAP revenue of $56.5M (+38.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $40.8M , and +95.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$7.0M, operating cash flow of $7.9M, and free cash flow of $7.9M (+156.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, HOLO closed FY2025 with $395.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.55, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $56.5M -$7.0M $7.9M $7.9M $395.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $40.8M -$9.0M -$13.8M -$13.8M $224.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $28.9M -$11.6M -$3.9M -$3.9M — —

3. HOLO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HOLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (NASDAQ: HOLO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $1.18 (-3.28% 1D, market cap $27.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, HOLO ranks #539 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HOLO compare to TEAD and SST in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), HOLO carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.3%, and ROIC of 0.2%. By comparison, TEAD (Teads Holding Co.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.9M) and SST (System1 Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -28.5%, cap $18.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOLO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GOAI leads on capital efficiency (67.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOLO?

Per HOLO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001841209), MicroCloud Hologram Inc. generated $56.5M in revenue (+38.6% YoY), -$7.0M in net income, and $7.9M in free cash flow against $395.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HOLO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HOLO last traded at $1.18 (-3.28% on volume of 87,767 shares), positioning the stock -23.38% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.54) and -35.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.83). Across its 52-week range of $1.10 to $4.52, HOLO sits at the 2.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.03 to $1.33).

HOLO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is HOLO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is HOLO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for HOLO, spanning a range between $1.03 and $1.33.

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