Stock Ratings / Utilities / HNRG / earnings

NNE (34) GFUZ (44) EDN (57) ELLO (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$11.73 -1.35% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.68

Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $553.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.68 (-0.43%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 2.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HNRG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HNRG SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.75 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$13.92-15.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$11.71-5.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$11.05+6.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$11.73+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HNRG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, HNRG faces multiple-compression risk if 13.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($14.22) or 200D SMA ($16.53) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.89) toward Bear Floor ($9.27).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HNRG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HNRG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$1.47 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

HNRG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 61/100

Trailing EPS: $0.89 • YoY Revenue Growth: 16.2%

Model Bullish Setup (61/100)Model Risk Weight (39/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$469.5M	$41.9M	$11.9M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$404.2M	-$226.1M	$12.6M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$634.9M	$44.8M	$59.4M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating HNRG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on HNRG
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

HNRG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.47%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $11.25H $11.73L $10.69C $11.73VOL 828.2K

RES: $15.53SUP: $9.75SMA50: $14.22SMA200: $16.53

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HNRG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HNRG Butterfly Map → + Track HNRG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

4.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HNRG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HNRG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HNRG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HNRG)

Utilities Rank #30 of 117 ⚔️ NNE vs HNRG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (HNRG vs. NNE, GFUZ, EDN, ELLO)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) ranks #30 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #87 by equity capitalization ($553.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HNRG leads on earnings valuation at 13.2x trailing P/E, while HNRG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.9% ROIC and — gross margin. HNRG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HNRG ACTIVE Hallador Energy Company	C-	61/100	13.2x	—	26.9%	-1.35%	$553.0M	Benchmark Subject
NNE Nano Nuclear Energy Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-6.7%	-1.45%	$655.7M	/nne-vs-hnrg →
GFUZ General Fusion Group Ltd.	D	44/100	—	—	-35.0%	+7.25%	$413.7M	/gfuz-vs-hnrg →
EDN Empresa Distribuidora Y Comercializadora Norte S.A. (Edenor)	D+	57/100	—	—	—	-2.17%	$753.7M	/edn-vs-hnrg →
ELLO Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel)	D	49/100	—	—	—	-9.22%	$289.0M	/ello-vs-hnrg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000788965

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) reported GAAP revenue of $469.5M (+16.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $404.2M , and -26.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $41.9M, operating cash flow of $81.1M, and free cash flow of $11.9M (-5.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, HNRG closed FY2025 with $408.1M in total assets against $29.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.75, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$469.5M	$41.9M	$81.1M	$11.9M	$408.1M	$29.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$404.2M	-$226.1M	$65.9M	$12.6M	$369.1M	$37.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$634.9M	$44.8M	$59.4M	$59.4M	—	—

3. HNRG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HNRG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ: HNRG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $11.73 (-1.35% 1D, market cap $553.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, HNRG ranks #30 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HNRG compare to NNE and GFUZ in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), HNRG carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 26.9%. By comparison, NNE (Nano Nuclear Energy Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.7%, cap $655.7M) and GFUZ (General Fusion Group Ltd.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $413.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HNRG leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while HNRG leads on capital efficiency (26.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HNRG?

Per HNRG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000788965), Hallador Energy Company generated $469.5M in revenue (+16.2% YoY), $41.9M in net income, and $11.9M in free cash flow against $408.1M in total assets and $29.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HNRG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HNRG last traded at $11.73 (-1.35% on volume of 505,461 shares), positioning the stock -17.51% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.22) and -29.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.53). Across its 52-week range of $10.69 to $24.70, HNRG sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($10.26 to $13.20).

HNRG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is HNRG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Hallador Energy Company (HNRG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is HNRG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for HNRG, spanning a range between $10.26 and $13.2.

Direct Sub-Reports: HNRG RQD Cockpit HNRG 12M Forecast HNRG Earnings & Move HNRG Dividends & DRIP HNRG Insiders & 13F HNRG Whale Options HNRG Profit Sankey HNRG News & Why