MARKET WIREBenzinga • 3d ago
HC Wainwright & Co. Reiterates Buy on Brazil Potash, Maintains $4.75 Price TargetHC Wainwright & Co. analyst Heiko F. Ihle reiterates Brazil Potash (AMEX:GRO) with a Buy and maintains $4.75 price target.
Why GRO Stock surged +3.35% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.85 +3.35% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.86
Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $114.6M
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER
Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GRO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is GRO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-01, Brazil Potash Corp. (NYSE: GRO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $1.85 (+3.35% 1D, market cap $114.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, GRO ranks #86 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GRO compare to FEAM and SND in the Materials sector?
▼
Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), GRO carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FEAM (5E Advanced Materials Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $127.1M) and SND (Smart Sand Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 154.1x, ROIC -1.6%, cap $207.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SND leads on earnings multiple (154.1x) while SND leads on capital efficiency (-1.6% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRO?
▼
For Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #86 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.86 (+0.41%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GRO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GRO SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 34.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$2.14-6.1% Next Q
66
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$2.01-11.4% Next Q
63
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$1.78+3.9% Next Q
61
CurrentGrade D+$1.85+0% Hist 90D α
58
Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GRO Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, GRO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($2.24) or 200D SMA ($2.56) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.85) toward Bear Floor ($1.44).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GRO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GRO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why GRO Stock surged +3.35% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) surged +3.35% to $1.85, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($1.63 – $3.99). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($1.63 – $3.99) with RSI-14 at 34.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.85 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $3.2M annual free cash flow.
Live GRO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 6d ago
12 Materials Stocks Moving In Monday's Pre-Market SessionGainers Tactical Resources (NASDAQ:TREO) shares rose 6.6% to $1.61 during Monday's pre-market session. The company's market cap stands at $22.3 million. Guardian Metal Resources (AMEX:GMTL) stock increased by
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GRO)
- ✓Walkthrough of GRO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
GRO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.94%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $1.79H $1.86L $1.68C $1.85VOL 314.0K
RES: $3.15SUP: $1.59SMA50: $2.24SMA200: $2.56
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
GRO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GRO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GRO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GRO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GRO)
Materials Rank #86 of 270
⚔️ FEAM vs GRO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (GRO vs. FEAM, SND, IONR, ABAT)
Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) ranks #86 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #227 by equity capitalization ($114.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SND leads on earnings valuation at 154.1x trailing P/E, while SND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -1.6% ROIC and 11.5% gross margin. SND currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with GRO at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRO
ACTIVE
Brazil Potash Corp. | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | +3.35% | $114.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| FEAM 5E Advanced Materials Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +2.81% | $127.1M | /feam-vs-gro → |
| SND Smart Sand Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 154.1x | 11.5% | -1.6% | -1.21% | $207.3M | /snd-vs-gro → |
| IONR ioneer Ltd | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | +0.71% | $216.8M | /ionr-vs-gro → |
| ABAT American Battery Technology Company | E | 34/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | -1.27% | $222.4M | /abat-vs-gro → |
2. GRO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTBrazil Potash Corp. (GRO) operates in Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $114.6M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. GRO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GRO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Brazil Potash Corp. (NYSE: GRO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $1.85 (+3.35% 1D, market cap $114.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, GRO ranks #86 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GRO compare to FEAM and SND in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), GRO carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FEAM (5E Advanced Materials Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $127.1M) and SND (Smart Sand Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 154.1x, ROIC -1.6%, cap $207.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SND leads on earnings multiple (154.1x) while SND leads on capital efficiency (-1.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRO?
For Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #86 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GRO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GRO last traded at $1.85 (+3.35% on volume of 155,984 shares), positioning the stock -17.41% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.24) and -27.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.56). Across its 52-week range of $1.63 to $3.99, GRO sits at the 9.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.62 to $2.08).
GRO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GRO stock moving today?
Why GRO Stock surged +3.35% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.