Stock Ratings / Materials / GRO / earnings

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Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.85 +3.35% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.86

Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $114.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.86 (+0.41%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GRO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GRO SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 34.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$2.14-6.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$2.01-11.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$1.78+3.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$1.85+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GRO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, GRO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($2.24) or 200D SMA ($2.56) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.85) toward Bear Floor ($1.44).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GRO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GRO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.23 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GRO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 58/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (58/100)Model Risk Weight (42/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GRO)

✓Walkthrough of GRO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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GRO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.94%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $1.79H $1.86L $1.68C $1.85VOL 314.0K

RES: $3.15SUP: $1.59SMA50: $2.24SMA200: $2.56

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GRO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GRO Butterfly Map → + Track GRO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GRO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GRO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GRO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GRO)

Materials Rank #86 of 270 ⚔️ FEAM vs GRO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (GRO vs. FEAM, SND, IONR, ABAT)

Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) ranks #86 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #227 by equity capitalization ($114.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SND leads on earnings valuation at 154.1x trailing P/E, while SND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -1.6% ROIC and 11.5% gross margin. SND currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with GRO at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GRO ACTIVE Brazil Potash Corp.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+3.35%	$114.6M	Benchmark Subject
FEAM 5E Advanced Materials Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	-35.0%	+2.81%	$127.1M	/feam-vs-gro →
SND Smart Sand Inc.	C-	59/100	154.1x	11.5%	-1.6%	-1.21%	$207.3M	/snd-vs-gro →
IONR ioneer Ltd	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+0.71%	$216.8M	/ionr-vs-gro →
ABAT American Battery Technology Company	E	34/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-1.27%	$222.4M	/abat-vs-gro →

2. GRO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) operates in Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $114.6M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. GRO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GRO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Brazil Potash Corp. (NYSE: GRO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $1.85 (+3.35% 1D, market cap $114.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, GRO ranks #86 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GRO compare to FEAM and SND in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), GRO carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FEAM (5E Advanced Materials Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $127.1M) and SND (Smart Sand Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 154.1x, ROIC -1.6%, cap $207.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SND leads on earnings multiple (154.1x) while SND leads on capital efficiency (-1.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRO?

For Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #86 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GRO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GRO last traded at $1.85 (+3.35% on volume of 155,984 shares), positioning the stock -17.41% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.24) and -27.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.56). Across its 52-week range of $1.63 to $3.99, GRO sits at the 9.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.62 to $2.08).

GRO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is GRO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

How much is GRO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for GRO, spanning a range between $1.62 and $2.08.

Direct Sub-Reports: GRO RQD Cockpit GRO 12M Forecast GRO Earnings & Move GRO Dividends & DRIP GRO Insiders & 13F GRO Whale Options GRO Profit Sankey GRO News & Why