Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$4.40 -2.00% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.38

Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $21.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.38 (-0.55%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk C
Cash (7)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target
$30 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE GPMT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GPMT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY GPMT SCORES 51/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 2% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 16.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$6.53-22.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$5.08-4.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$4.83-8.9% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$4.40-1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (59) β†’ D (51)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GPMT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While GPMT currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.94) and Max Pain ($4.62) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $29.93.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GPMTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œGPMT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

GPMT Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (GPMT)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on GPMT. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GPMT)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of GPMT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GPMT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -70.67%β–Ό SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $4.35H $4.58L $4.18C $4.40VOL 65.9K
RES: $14.45SUP: $11.17SMA50: $7.94SMA200: $13.68
$24.93$19.30$13.68$8.06$2.43RES $14.45SUP $11.17$4.402026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GPMT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GPMT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GPMT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GPMT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GPMT)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GPMT vs. LFT, NYC, AHT, MDRR)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) ranks #834 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #1054 by equity capitalization ($21.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GPMT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. MDRR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with GPMT at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GPMT ACTIVE
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.
D 51/100 β€” β€” -7.4% -2.00% $21.2M Benchmark Subject
LFT
Lument Finance Trust Inc.
D 49/100 β€” β€” -1.3% -1.27% $20.5M /lft-vs-gpmt β†’
NYC
American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)
D- 39/100 β€” β€” 5.5% 0.00% $18.4M /nyc-vs-gpmt β†’
AHT
Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc
D 44/100 β€” β€” 85.0% +0.38% $17.1M /aht-vs-gpmt β†’
MDRR
Medalist Diversified Inc.
D+ 53/100 β€” β€” 6.4% 0.00% $17.1M /mdrr-vs-gpmt β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001703644

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$41.2M, operating cash flow of $2.7M, and free cash flow of $2.7M (-69.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, GPMT closed FY2025 with $1.76B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$41.2M $2.7M $2.7M $1.76B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$207.1M $8.8M $8.8M $2.12B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$63.2M $52.1M $52.1M β€” β€”

3. GPMT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GPMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (NYSE: GPMT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $4.40 (-2.00% 1D, market cap $21.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GPMT ranks #834 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GPMT compare to LFT and NYC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), GPMT carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -7.4%. By comparison, LFT (Lument Finance Trust Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.3%, cap $20.5M) and NYC (American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.5%, cap $18.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GPMT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AHT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPMT?

Per GPMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001703644), Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$41.2M in net income, and $2.7M in free cash flow against $1.76B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GPMT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GPMT last traded at $4.40 (-2.00% on volume of 26,724 shares), positioning the stock -44.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.94) and -67.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.68). Across its 52-week range of $4.18 to $28.50, GPMT sits at the 0.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 16.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($3.85 to $4.95).

GPMT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are GPMT insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies GPMT leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

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