Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$4.40 -2.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.38

Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $21.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.38 (-0.55%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C
Cash (7)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target
$30 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE GPMT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GPMT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GPMT SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 16.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$6.53-22.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$5.08-4.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$4.83-8.9% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$4.40-1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GPMT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GPMT currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.94) and Max Pain ($4.62) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $29.93.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GPMT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GPMT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.9K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.8K
Yr 7
$16.9K
Yr 8
$18.1K
Yr 9
$19.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GPMT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GPMT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
GPMT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -70.67%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $4.35H $4.58L $4.18C $4.40VOL 65.9K
RES: $14.45SUP: $11.17SMA50: $7.94SMA200: $13.68
$24.93$19.30$13.68$8.06$2.43RES $14.45SUP $11.17$4.402026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GPMT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GPMT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GPMT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GPMT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GPMT)

Financials Rank #834 of 1096 ⚔️ LFT vs GPMT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GPMT vs. LFT, NYC, AHT, MDRR)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) ranks #834 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #1054 by equity capitalization ($21.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GPMT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. MDRR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with GPMT at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GPMT ACTIVE
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.
D 51/100 — — -7.4% -2.00% $21.2M Benchmark Subject
LFT
Lument Finance Trust Inc.
D 49/100 — — -1.3% -1.27% $20.5M /lft-vs-gpmt →
NYC
American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)
D- 39/100 — — 5.5% 0.00% $18.4M /nyc-vs-gpmt →
AHT
Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc
D 44/100 — — 85.0% +0.38% $17.1M /aht-vs-gpmt →
MDRR
Medalist Diversified Inc.
D+ 53/100 — — 6.4% 0.00% $17.1M /mdrr-vs-gpmt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001703644

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$41.2M, operating cash flow of $2.7M, and free cash flow of $2.7M (-69.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, GPMT closed FY2025 with $1.76B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$41.2M $2.7M $2.7M $1.76B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$207.1M $8.8M $8.8M $2.12B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$63.2M $52.1M $52.1M — —

3. GPMT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GPMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (NYSE: GPMT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $4.40 (-2.00% 1D, market cap $21.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GPMT ranks #834 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GPMT compare to LFT and NYC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), GPMT carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -7.4%. By comparison, LFT (Lument Finance Trust Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.3%, cap $20.5M) and NYC (American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.5%, cap $18.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GPMT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AHT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPMT?

Per GPMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001703644), Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$41.2M in net income, and $2.7M in free cash flow against $1.76B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GPMT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GPMT last traded at $4.40 (-2.00% on volume of 26,724 shares), positioning the stock -44.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.94) and -67.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.68). Across its 52-week range of $4.18 to $28.50, GPMT sits at the 0.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 16.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.85 to $4.95).

GPMT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does GPMT pay a dividend and is it safe?

Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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