MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
Why GO Stock surged +2.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$12.88 +2.47% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.91
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $1.28B
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is GO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: GO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $12.88 (+2.47% 1D, market cap $1.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, GO ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GO compare to YSWY and IMKTA in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Food Chains), GO carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.3%, and ROIC of -12.6%. By comparison, YSWY (Yesway Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.54B) and IMKTA (Ingles Markets Incorporated (Class A)) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 4.4%, cap $1.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NGVC leads on earnings multiple (14.1x) while NGVC leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GO?
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Per GO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001771515), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. generated $4.69B in revenue (+7.3% YoY), -$224.9M in net income, and $23.8M in free cash flow against $3.09B in total assets and $477.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.91 (+0.25%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GO SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (25% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 82% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$11.96+7.6% Next Q
47
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$12.87+3.3% Next Q
50
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$13.30-3.2% Next Q
52
CurrentGrade D+$12.88-0.5% Hist 90D α
55
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GO Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, GO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.01) or 200D SMA ($9.56) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.71) toward Bear Floor ($9.91).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why GO Stock surged +2.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) surged +2.47% to $12.88, trading at 82% of its 52-week range ($5.66 – $14.49). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 82% of its 52-week range ($5.66 – $14.49) with RSI-14 at 57.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8% around $12.88 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 30.3% gross margin and $23.8M annual free cash flow.
Live GO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 9h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 11h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GO)
- ✓Walkthrough of GO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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GO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +62.83%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $13.02H $13.11L $12.79C $12.88VOL 2.62M
RES: $14.23SUP: $11.88SMA50: $12.01SMA200: $9.56
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
GO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +7.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GO)
Consumer Staples Rank #78 of 146
⚔️ YSWY vs GO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (GO vs. YSWY, IMKTA, WMK, NGVC)
Industry: Food Chains (14 Tracked Issuers)Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) ranks #78 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #67 by equity capitalization ($1.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NGVC leads on earnings valuation at 14.1x trailing P/E, while NGVC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.9% ROIC and 29.9% gross margin. YSWY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with GO at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GO
ACTIVE
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. | D+ | 55/100 | — | 30.3% | -12.6% | +2.47% | $1.28B | Benchmark Subject |
| YSWY Yesway Inc. (Class A) | C- | 60/100 | — | — | — | +0.79% | $1.54B | /yswy-vs-go → |
| IMKTA Ingles Markets Incorporated (Class A) | C- | 59/100 | 18.9x | 23.9% | 4.4% | -0.49% | $1.58B | /imkta-vs-go → |
| WMK Weis Markets Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 19.8x | 25.0% | 7.3% | +0.75% | $1.85B | /wmk-vs-go → |
| NGVC Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | 14.1x | 29.9% | 24.9% | -5.44% | $656.4M | /ngvc-vs-go → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001771515In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) reported GAAP revenue of $4.69B (+7.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.37B , and +18.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$224.9M, operating cash flow of $222.1M, and free cash flow of $23.8M (+131.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, GO closed FY2025 with $3.09B in total assets against $477.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.77, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-01-03 | $4.69B | -$224.9M | $222.1M | $23.8M | $3.09B | $477.9M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-28 | $4.37B | $39.5M | $112.0M | -$74.6M | $3.17B | $462.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-30 | $3.97B | $79.4M | $303.4M | $303.4M | — | — |
3. GO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: GO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $12.88 (+2.47% 1D, market cap $1.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, GO ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GO compare to YSWY and IMKTA in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Food Chains), GO carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.3%, and ROIC of -12.6%. By comparison, YSWY (Yesway Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.54B) and IMKTA (Ingles Markets Incorporated (Class A)) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 4.4%, cap $1.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NGVC leads on earnings multiple (14.1x) while NGVC leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GO?
Per GO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001771515), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. generated $4.69B in revenue (+7.3% YoY), -$224.9M in net income, and $23.8M in free cash flow against $3.09B in total assets and $477.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GO last traded at $12.88 (+2.47% on volume of 2,562,652 shares), positioning the stock +7.24% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.01) and +34.73% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.56). Across its 52-week range of $5.66 to $14.49, GO sits at the 81.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($11.85 to $13.91).
GO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GO stock moving today?
Why GO Stock surged +2.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.