Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / GO / earnings

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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8% Move

$12.93 +0.39% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.91

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.28B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: GO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $12.93 (+0.39% 1D, market cap $1.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, GO ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GO compare to YSWY and IMKTA in the Consumer Staples sector?

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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Food Chains), GO carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.3%, and ROIC of -12.6%. By comparison, YSWY (Yesway Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.54B) and IMKTA (Ingles Markets Incorporated (Class A)) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 4.4%, cap $1.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NGVC leads on earnings multiple (14.1x) while NGVC leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GO?

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Per GO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001771515), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. generated $4.69B in revenue (+7.3% YoY), -$224.9M in net income, and $23.8M in free cash flow against $3.09B in total assets and $477.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.91 (-0.12%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GO SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 82% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$11.92+7.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$12.79+2.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$13.06-1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$12.93-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, GO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.04) or 200D SMA ($9.58) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.87) toward Bear Floor ($10.04).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 2, 2027 (~60 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8% Swing Band

±$1.03 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 57/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 7.3%

Model Bullish Setup (57/100)Model Risk Weight (43/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-01-03	$4.69B	-$224.9M	$23.8M	30.3%
FY 2024	2024-12-28	$4.37B	$39.5M	-$74.6M	30.2%
FY 2023	2023-12-30	$3.97B	$79.4M	$303.4M	30.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GO)

✓Walkthrough of GO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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GO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +62.44%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $12.57H $12.93L $12.57C $12.93VOL 2.56M

RES: $14.27SUP: $11.92SMA50: $12.04SMA200: $9.58

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GO Butterfly Map → + Track GO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GO)

Consumer Staples Rank #52 of 146 ⚔️ YSWY vs GO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (GO vs. YSWY, IMKTA, WMK, NGVC)

Industry: Food Chains (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) ranks #52 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #67 by equity capitalization ($1.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NGVC leads on earnings valuation at 14.1x trailing P/E, while NGVC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.9% ROIC and 29.9% gross margin. YSWY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with GO at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GO ACTIVE Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.	D+	57/100	—	30.3%	-12.6%	+0.39%	$1.28B	Benchmark Subject
YSWY Yesway Inc. (Class A)	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+1.68%	$1.54B	/yswy-vs-go →
IMKTA Ingles Markets Incorporated (Class A)	D	51/100	18.9x	23.9%	4.4%	+1.07%	$1.58B	/imkta-vs-go →
WMK Weis Markets Inc.	C-	59/100	19.8x	25.0%	7.3%	-0.57%	$1.85B	/wmk-vs-go →
NGVC Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc.	C-	59/100	14.1x	29.9%	24.9%	+0.74%	$656.4M	/ngvc-vs-go →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001771515

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) reported GAAP revenue of $4.69B (+7.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.37B , and +18.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$224.9M, operating cash flow of $222.1M, and free cash flow of $23.8M (+131.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, GO closed FY2025 with $3.09B in total assets against $477.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.77, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-03	$4.69B	-$224.9M	$222.1M	$23.8M	$3.09B	$477.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-28	$4.37B	$39.5M	$112.0M	-$74.6M	$3.17B	$462.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-30	$3.97B	$79.4M	$303.4M	$303.4M	—	—

3. GO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does GO compare to YSWY and IMKTA in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GO?

Where is GO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GO last traded at $12.93 (+0.39% on volume of 2,624,087 shares), positioning the stock +7.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.04) and +34.97% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.58). Across its 52-week range of $5.66 to $14.49, GO sits at the 82.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($11.90 to $13.96).

GO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is GO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 2, 2027.

How much is GO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8% event move for GO, spanning a range between $11.9 and $13.96.

Direct Sub-Reports: GO RQD Cockpit GO 12M Forecast GO Earnings & Move GO Dividends & DRIP GO Insiders & 13F GO Whale Options GO Profit Sankey GO News & Why