Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / GO / forecast

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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$12.88 +2.47% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.28B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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SEC

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your GO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $12.88: 776.4 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $9.91

$7,694

$-2,306 (-23.1%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $12.71

$9,868

$-132 (-1.3%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $15.21

$11,809

+$1,809 (+18.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$13	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$14	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$11	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GO)

✓Walkthrough of GO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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GO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +62.83%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $13.02H $13.11L $12.79C $12.88VOL 2.62M

RES: $14.23SUP: $11.88SMA50: $12.01SMA200: $9.56

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GO Butterfly Map → + Track GO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GO)

Consumer Staples Rank #78 of 146 ⚔️ YSWY vs GO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (GO vs. YSWY, IMKTA, WMK, NGVC)

Industry: Food Chains (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) ranks #78 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #67 by equity capitalization ($1.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NGVC leads on earnings valuation at 14.1x trailing P/E, while NGVC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.9% ROIC and 29.9% gross margin. YSWY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with GO at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GO ACTIVE Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.	D+	55/100	—	30.3%	-12.6%	+2.47%	$1.28B	Benchmark Subject
YSWY Yesway Inc. (Class A)	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+0.79%	$1.54B	/yswy-vs-go →
IMKTA Ingles Markets Incorporated (Class A)	C-	59/100	18.9x	23.9%	4.4%	-0.49%	$1.58B	/imkta-vs-go →
WMK Weis Markets Inc.	D+	56/100	19.8x	25.0%	7.3%	+0.75%	$1.85B	/wmk-vs-go →
NGVC Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc.	D+	58/100	14.1x	29.9%	24.9%	-5.44%	$656.4M	/ngvc-vs-go →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001771515

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) reported GAAP revenue of $4.69B (+7.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.37B , and +18.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$224.9M, operating cash flow of $222.1M, and free cash flow of $23.8M (+131.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, GO closed FY2025 with $3.09B in total assets against $477.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.77, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-03	$4.69B	-$224.9M	$222.1M	$23.8M	$3.09B	$477.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-28	$4.37B	$39.5M	$112.0M	-$74.6M	$3.17B	$462.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-30	$3.97B	$79.4M	$303.4M	$303.4M	—	—

3. GO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: GO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $12.88 (+2.47% 1D, market cap $1.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, GO ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GO compare to YSWY and IMKTA in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Food Chains), GO carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.3%, and ROIC of -12.6%. By comparison, YSWY (Yesway Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.54B) and IMKTA (Ingles Markets Incorporated (Class A)) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 4.4%, cap $1.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NGVC leads on earnings multiple (14.1x) while NGVC leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GO?

Per GO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001771515), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. generated $4.69B in revenue (+7.3% YoY), -$224.9M in net income, and $23.8M in free cash flow against $3.09B in total assets and $477.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GO last traded at $12.88 (+2.47% on volume of 2,562,652 shares), positioning the stock +7.24% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.01) and +34.73% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.56). Across its 52-week range of $5.66 to $14.49, GO sits at the 81.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($11.85 to $13.91).

GO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is GO's 12-month stock price target?

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $12.71 (-1.3% from $12.88), with a bull-case target of $15.21 and a bear-case floor of $9.91.

Is GO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates GO D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 55/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: GO RQD Cockpit GO 12M Forecast GO Earnings & Move GO Dividends & DRIP GO Insiders & 13F GO Whale Options GO Profit Sankey GO News & Why