Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6% Move

$7.22 +3.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.25

Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.67B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.25 (+0.43%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 45% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (9)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$11 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE GNL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GNL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GNL SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 26.4 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 22.4% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$7.75-4.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$7.43-3.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
57
Grade C$7.20+0.3% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$7.22-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (62) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GNL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GNL currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.32) and Max Pain ($7.58) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GNL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GNL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6% Swing Band

±$0.43 Expected Swing
$6.79 (-6%)Spot $7.22$7.65 (+6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GNL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 54/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -13.1%

Model Bullish Setup (54/100)Model Risk Weight (46/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$495.3M$0$222.8M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$569.8M$0$299.5M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$445.8M$0$143.7M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GNL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GNL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
GNL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.48%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $7.25H $7.28L $6.95C $7.22VOL 3.30M
RES: $9.07SUP: $6.81SMA50: $8.32SMA200: $9.06
$9.87$9.05$8.23$7.41$6.60RES $9.07SUP $6.81$7.222026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GNL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -13.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GNL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GNL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GNL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GNL)

Financials Rank #718 of 1096 ⚔️ DEI vs GNL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GNL vs. DEI, CBL, BXMT, FRMI)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL) ranks #718 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #465 by equity capitalization ($1.67B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CBL leads on earnings valuation at 11.6x trailing P/E, while CBL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 36.3% ROIC and — gross margin. CBL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with GNL at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GNL ACTIVE
Global Net Lease Inc.
D+ 54/100 — — 5.9% +3.44% $1.67B Benchmark Subject
DEI
Douglas Emmett Inc.
C- 61/100 105.1x — 0.9% +2.10% $1.71B /dei-vs-gnl →
CBL
CBL & Associates Properties Inc.
B- 71/100 11.6x — 36.3% +2.28% $1.57B /cbl-vs-gnl →
BXMT
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc.
C 64/100 16.7x — 3.1% +2.94% $1.83B /bxmt-vs-gnl →
FRMI
Fermi Inc.
E 34/100 — — -20.4% -5.30% $1.83B /frmi-vs-gnl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001526113

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL) reported GAAP revenue of $495.3M (-13.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $569.8M , and +11.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $222.8M, and free cash flow of $222.8M (-25.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, GNL closed FY2025 with $4.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $495.3M $0 $222.8M $222.8M $4.35B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $569.8M $0 $299.5M $299.5M $6.96B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $445.8M $0 $143.7M $143.7M — —

3. GNL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Global Net Lease Inc. (NYSE: GNL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $7.22 (+3.44% 1D, market cap $1.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GNL ranks #718 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GNL compare to DEI and CBL in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), GNL carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, DEI (Douglas Emmett Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 105.1x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $1.71B) and CBL (CBL & Associates Properties Inc.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 36.3%, cap $1.57B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CBL leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while CBL leads on capital efficiency (36.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GNL?

Per GNL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001526113), Global Net Lease Inc. generated $495.3M in revenue (-13.1% YoY), $0 in net income, and $222.8M in free cash flow against $4.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GNL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GNL last traded at $7.22 (+3.44% on volume of 2,719,732 shares), positioning the stock -13.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.32) and -20.31% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.06). Across its 52-week range of $6.85 to $10.04, GNL sits at the 11.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($6.79 to $7.65).

GNL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is GNL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is GNL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6% event move for GNL, spanning a range between $6.79 and $7.65.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $213.66 -0.80% AAPL $348.91 +1.48% MSFT $530.14 -0.16% TSLA $403.30 -0.23% PLTR $196.42 -0.20% SOFI $17.61 +2.74% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%