Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$7.22 +3.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.25

Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.67B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.25 (+0.43%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 45% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (9)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$11 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE GNL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GNL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GNL SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 26.4 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 22.4% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$7.75-4.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$7.43-3.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
57
Grade C$7.20+0.3% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$7.22-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (62) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GNL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GNL currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.32) and Max Pain ($7.58) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GNL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GNL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)
26.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE12% OF RANGE
L: $7$7.22H: $10
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on GNL

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

5.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 13.34% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (58)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GNL
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GNL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GNL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GNL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.48%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $7.25H $7.28L $6.95C $7.22VOL 3.30M
RES: $9.07SUP: $6.81SMA50: $8.32SMA200: $9.06
$9.87$9.05$8.23$7.41$6.60RES $9.07SUP $6.81$7.222026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GNL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -13.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GNL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GNL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GNL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GNL)

Financials Rank #718 of 1096 ⚔️ DEI vs GNL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GNL vs. DEI, CBL, BXMT, FRMI)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL) ranks #718 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #465 by equity capitalization ($1.67B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CBL leads on earnings valuation at 11.6x trailing P/E, while CBL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 36.3% ROIC and — gross margin. CBL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with GNL at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GNL ACTIVE
Global Net Lease Inc.
D+ 54/100 — — 5.9% +3.44% $1.67B Benchmark Subject
DEI
Douglas Emmett Inc.
C- 61/100 105.1x — 0.9% +2.10% $1.71B /dei-vs-gnl →
CBL
CBL & Associates Properties Inc.
B- 71/100 11.6x — 36.3% +2.28% $1.57B /cbl-vs-gnl →
BXMT
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc.
C 64/100 16.7x — 3.1% +2.94% $1.83B /bxmt-vs-gnl →
FRMI
Fermi Inc.
E 34/100 — — -20.4% -5.30% $1.83B /frmi-vs-gnl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001526113

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL) reported GAAP revenue of $495.3M (-13.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $569.8M , and +11.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $222.8M, and free cash flow of $222.8M (-25.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, GNL closed FY2025 with $4.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $495.3M $0 $222.8M $222.8M $4.35B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $569.8M $0 $299.5M $299.5M $6.96B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $445.8M $0 $143.7M $143.7M — —

3. GNL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Global Net Lease Inc. (NYSE: GNL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $7.22 (+3.44% 1D, market cap $1.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GNL ranks #718 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GNL compare to DEI and CBL in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), GNL carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, DEI (Douglas Emmett Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 105.1x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $1.71B) and CBL (CBL & Associates Properties Inc.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 36.3%, cap $1.57B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CBL leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while CBL leads on capital efficiency (36.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GNL?

Per GNL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001526113), Global Net Lease Inc. generated $495.3M in revenue (-13.1% YoY), $0 in net income, and $222.8M in free cash flow against $4.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GNL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GNL last traded at $7.22 (+3.44% on volume of 2,719,732 shares), positioning the stock -13.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.32) and -20.31% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.06). Across its 52-week range of $6.85 to $10.04, GNL sits at the 11.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($6.79 to $7.65).

GNL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell GNL stock right now?

Global Net Lease Inc. (GNL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 54/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is GNL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

GNL's 12-month base price target is $7.09 (range $5.53 to $10.54), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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