MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why GIII Stock surged +3.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$30.36 +3.80% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.64
G-III Apparel Group LTD. (GIII) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (39% profit margin, 6% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B • BUY
Cap $1.30B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.64 (+0.92%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 10.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GIII)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GIII SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.37 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 44% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 65.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 3.7% operating margin leave 8 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$27.07+4.8% Next Q
65
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$28.38+5.2% Next Q
68
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$29.85+1.7% Next Q
70
CurrentGrade B$30.36+7.1% Hist 90D α
73
Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GIII Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 73/100 (B) score, GIII faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 36.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.81) or 200D SMA ($30.85) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($32.41) toward Bear Floor ($24.90).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GIII• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GIII Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why GIII Stock surged +3.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
G-III Apparel Group LTD. (GIII) surged +3.80% to $30.36, trading at 44% of its 52-week range ($24.61 – $37.54). High-quality cash engine (39% profit margin, 6% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 44% of its 52-week range ($24.61 – $37.54) with RSI-14 at 65.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.2% around $30.36 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 39.4% gross margin and $299.1M annual free cash flow.
Live GIII Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GIII Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
GIII // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.66%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $30.66H $30.79L $30.17C $30.36VOL 416.5K
RES: $39.21SUP: $26.31SMA50: $28.81SMA200: $30.85
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
GIII Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-0.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GIII today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GIII. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GIII today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GIII)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #113 of 1011
⚔️ CRI vs GIII Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GIII vs. CRI, REF, CPRI, UA)
Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, G-III Apparel Group LTD. (GIII) ranks #113 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #479 by equity capitalization ($1.30B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRI leads on earnings valuation at 13.3x trailing P/E, while CRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.3% ROIC and 45.4% gross margin. GIII currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIII
ACTIVE
G-III Apparel Group LTD. | B | 73/100 | — | 39.4% | 6.3% | +3.80% | $1.30B | Benchmark Subject |
| CRI Carter's Inc. | B | 72/100 | 13.3x | 45.4% | 11.3% | +7.54% | $1.23B | /cri-vs-giii → |
| REF Reformation Inc. | C | 63/100 | — | — | — | +2.66% | $958.3M | /ref-vs-giii → |
| CPRI Capri Holdings Limited | D+ | 53/100 | 23.1x | 62.3% | 10.4% | +5.04% | $1.83B | /cpri-vs-giii → |
| UA Under Armour Inc. (Class C) | D- | 36/100 | — | 45.5% | -9.5% | +5.86% | $2.10B | /ua-vs-giii → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000821002In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), G-III Apparel Group LTD. (GIII) reported GAAP revenue of $2.96B (-7.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.18B ) , GAAP net income of $67.4K, operating cash flow of $299.1M, and free cash flow of $299.1M (-5.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, GIII closed FY2025 with $2.61B in total assets against $4.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.37, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-01-31 | $2.96B | $67.4K | $299.1M | $299.1M | $2.61B | $4.6M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-01-31 | $3.18B | $193.3K | $316.4M | $316.4M | $2.48B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-01-31 | $0 | $174.7K | $587.6M | $587.6M | — | — |
3. GIII Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GIII stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, G-III Apparel Group LTD. (NASDAQ: GIII) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $30.36 (+3.80% 1D, market cap $1.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GIII ranks #113 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GIII compare to CRI and REF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), GIII carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.4%, and ROIC of 6.3%. By comparison, CRI (Carter's Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 13.3x, ROIC 11.3%, cap $1.23B) and REF (Reformation Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $958.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRI leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while CRI leads on capital efficiency (11.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GIII?
Per GIII's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000821002), G-III Apparel Group LTD. generated $2.96B in revenue (-7.0% YoY), $67.4K in net income, and $299.1M in free cash flow against $2.61B in total assets and $4.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GIII trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GIII last traded at $30.36 (+3.80% on volume of 449,174 shares), positioning the stock +5.38% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.81) and -1.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($30.85). Across its 52-week range of $24.61 to $37.54, GIII sits at the 44.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($28.78 to $31.94).
GIII Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GIII stock moving today?
Why GIII Stock surged +3.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (39% profit margin, 6% return on capital) with steady institutional support.