MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
Why GFF Stock surged +3.05% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$102.92 +3.05% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $103.29
Griffon Corporation (GFF) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $4.66B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is GFF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Griffon Corporation (NYSE: GFF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $102.92 (+3.05% 1D, market cap $4.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GFF ranks #283 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GFF compare to BW and JBI in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Building Products), GFF carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 91.2x, gross margin of 42.0%, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 48.2%, cap $679.3M) and JBI (Janus International Group Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $622.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBI leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while BW leads on capital efficiency (48.2% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GFF?
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Per GFF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000050725), Griffon Corporation generated $2.52B in revenue (-3.9% YoY), $51.1M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $2.05B in total assets and $1.35B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $103.29 (+0.36%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 5.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GFF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GFF SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (27% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.2% FCF Margin ($130.5M FCF) & 42% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (24% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.2% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$90.59+2.5% Next Q
43
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$92.85+4.5% Next Q
46
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$97.04+6.1% Next Q
48
CurrentGrade D$102.92-1.3% Hist 90D α
51
Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GFF Turnaround Squeeze
While GFF currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($95.96) and Max Pain ($108.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $117.62.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GFF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GFF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why GFF Stock surged +3.05% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Griffon Corporation (GFF) surged +3.05% to $102.92, trading at 87% of its 52-week range ($65.01 – $108.57). Stretched risk/reward at 91x P/E (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 87% of its 52-week range ($65.01 – $108.57) with RSI-14 at 64.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.2% around $102.92 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 42% gross margin and $130.5M annual free cash flow.
Live GFF Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 9h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 11h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GFF)
- ✓Walkthrough of GFF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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GFF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.89%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $103.1H $104.5L $100.8C $102.9VOL 323.3K
RES: $121.2SUP: $89.87SMA50: $95.96SMA200: $89.35
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
GFF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -3.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GFF today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GFF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GFF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GFF)
Industrials Rank #283 of 485
⚔️ BW vs GFF Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GFF vs. BW, JBI, MTEN, BRNX)
Industry: Building Products (12 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Griffon Corporation (GFF) ranks #283 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #153 by equity capitalization ($4.66B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JBI leads on earnings valuation at 11.6x trailing P/E, while BW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 48.2% ROIC and 24.5% gross margin. JBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with GFF at 51/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GFF
ACTIVE
Griffon Corporation | D | 51/100 | 91.2x | 42.0% | 12.0% | +3.05% | $4.66B | Benchmark Subject |
| BW Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | 24.5% | 48.2% | 0.00% | $679.3M | /bw-vs-gff → |
| JBI Janus International Group Inc. | B | 72/100 | 11.6x | 38.8% | 7.9% | +7.29% | $622.1M | /jbi-vs-gff → |
| MTEN Mingteng International Corporation Inc. (Class A) | E | 30/100 | — | 22.5% | -1.6% | -3.37% | $6.4M | /mten-vs-gff → |
| BRNX BrenX Ltd. | D- | 38/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | -4.90% | $1.1M | /brnx-vs-gff → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000050725In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Griffon Corporation (GFF) reported GAAP revenue of $2.52B (-3.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.62B , and -6.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $51.1M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, GFF closed FY2025 with $2.05B in total assets against $1.35B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.31, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $2.52B | $51.1M | — | — | $2.05B | $1.35B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $2.62B | $209.9M | — | — | $2.33B | $1.47B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $2.69B | $77.6M | — | — | — | — |
3. GFF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GFF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Griffon Corporation (NYSE: GFF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $102.92 (+3.05% 1D, market cap $4.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GFF ranks #283 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GFF compare to BW and JBI in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Building Products), GFF carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 91.2x, gross margin of 42.0%, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 48.2%, cap $679.3M) and JBI (Janus International Group Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $622.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBI leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while BW leads on capital efficiency (48.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GFF?
Per GFF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000050725), Griffon Corporation generated $2.52B in revenue (-3.9% YoY), $51.1M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $2.05B in total assets and $1.35B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GFF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GFF last traded at $102.92 (+3.05% on volume of 313,800 shares), positioning the stock +7.25% above its 50-day simple moving average ($95.96) and +15.19% above its 200-day simple moving average ($89.35). Across its 52-week range of $65.01 to $108.57, GFF sits at the 87.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($96.54 to $109.30).
GFF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GFF stock moving today?
Why GFF Stock surged +3.05% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 91x P/E (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.