Stock Ratings / Industrials / GFF / earnings

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Griffon Corporation (GFF) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.2% Move

$102.92 +3.05% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $103.29

Griffon Corporation (GFF) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.66B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $103.29 (+0.36%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 5.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GFF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GFF SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.2% FCF Margin ($130.5M FCF) & 42% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.2% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$90.59+2.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$92.85+4.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$97.04+6.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$102.92-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GFF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GFF currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($95.96) and Max Pain ($108.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $117.62.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GFF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GFF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.2% Swing Band

±$6.38 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GFF Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 51/100

Trailing EPS: $1.13 • YoY Revenue Growth: -3.9%

Model Bullish Setup (51/100)Model Risk Weight (49/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-09-30	$2.52B	$51.1M	$46.0M	42%
FY 2024	2024-09-30	$2.62B	$209.9M	$188.9M	38.9%
FY 2023	2023-09-30	$2.69B	$77.6M	$69.9M	42%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GFF)

✓Walkthrough of GFF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GFF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.89%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $103.1H $104.5L $100.8C $102.9VOL 323.3K

RES: $121.2SUP: $89.87SMA50: $95.96SMA200: $89.35

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GFF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GFF Butterfly Map → + Track GFF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GFF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GFF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GFF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GFF)

Industrials Rank #283 of 485 ⚔️ BW vs GFF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GFF vs. BW, JBI, MTEN, BRNX)

Industry: Building Products (12 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Griffon Corporation (GFF) ranks #283 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #153 by equity capitalization ($4.66B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JBI leads on earnings valuation at 11.6x trailing P/E, while BW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 48.2% ROIC and 24.5% gross margin. JBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with GFF at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GFF ACTIVE Griffon Corporation	D	51/100	91.2x	42.0%	12.0%	+3.05%	$4.66B	Benchmark Subject
BW Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc.	E	31/100	—	24.5%	48.2%	0.00%	$679.3M	/bw-vs-gff →
JBI Janus International Group Inc.	B	72/100	11.6x	38.8%	7.9%	+7.29%	$622.1M	/jbi-vs-gff →
MTEN Mingteng International Corporation Inc. (Class A)	E	30/100	—	22.5%	-1.6%	-3.37%	$6.4M	/mten-vs-gff →
BRNX BrenX Ltd.	D-	38/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-4.90%	$1.1M	/brnx-vs-gff →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000050725

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Griffon Corporation (GFF) reported GAAP revenue of $2.52B (-3.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.62B , and -6.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $51.1M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, GFF closed FY2025 with $2.05B in total assets against $1.35B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.31, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$2.52B	$51.1M	—	—	$2.05B	$1.35B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$2.62B	$209.9M	—	—	$2.33B	$1.47B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$2.69B	$77.6M	—	—	—	—

3. GFF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GFF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Griffon Corporation (NYSE: GFF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $102.92 (+3.05% 1D, market cap $4.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GFF ranks #283 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GFF compare to BW and JBI in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Building Products), GFF carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 91.2x, gross margin of 42.0%, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 48.2%, cap $679.3M) and JBI (Janus International Group Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $622.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBI leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while BW leads on capital efficiency (48.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GFF?

Per GFF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000050725), Griffon Corporation generated $2.52B in revenue (-3.9% YoY), $51.1M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $2.05B in total assets and $1.35B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GFF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GFF last traded at $102.92 (+3.05% on volume of 313,800 shares), positioning the stock +7.25% above its 50-day simple moving average ($95.96) and +15.19% above its 200-day simple moving average ($89.35). Across its 52-week range of $65.01 to $108.57, GFF sits at the 87.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($96.54 to $109.30).

GFF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is GFF's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Griffon Corporation (GFF)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is GFF stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.2% event move for GFF, spanning a range between $96.54 and $109.3.

Direct Sub-Reports: GFF RQD Cockpit GFF 12M Forecast GFF Earnings & Move GFF Dividends & DRIP GFF Insiders & 13F GFF Whale Options GFF Profit Sankey GFF News & Why