Stock Ratings / Financials / GCMG / financials

GDV (54) LCLN (60) APAM (73) NAN (60) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$12.61 +3.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.71

GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 83% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $2.56B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.71 (+0.81%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 31.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GCMG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (77/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GCMG SCORES 77/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 31.4% FCF Margin ($175.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 59% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 49.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A$13.20-4.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A$12.56-1.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade A-$12.37+1.9% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$12.61+7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A (85) → B+ (77)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GCMG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 77/100 (B+) score, GCMG faces multiple-compression risk if 56.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 56x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.96) or 200D SMA ($11.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.69) toward Bear Floor ($10.34).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GCMG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GCMG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 77%NO 23%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How GCMG Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$175.0M (31.4% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $445.0M

FY24

Rev $514.0M

FY25

Rev $557.6M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$557.6M	52%	23.9%	$45.4M	$175.0M	95%
FY 2024	$514.0M	52%	14.3%	$18.7M	$132.0M	95%
FY 2023	$445.0M	52%	-2.7%	$12.8M	$92.1M	82.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GCMG)

✓Walkthrough of GCMG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GCMG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.48%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-10-30O $12.59H $12.69L $12.41C $12.61VOL 412.9K

RES: $13.33SUP: $12.06SMA50: $12.96SMA200: $11.87

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GCMG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GCMG Butterfly Map → + Track GCMG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

39.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GCMG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GCMG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GCMG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GCMG)

Financials Rank #23 of 1096 ⚔️ GDV vs GCMG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GCMG vs. GDV, LCLN, APAM, NAN)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) ranks #23 by composite RQD confidence (77/100, grade B+) and #393 by equity capitalization ($2.56B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APAM leads on earnings valuation at 10.2x trailing P/E, while GCMG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 82.5% ROIC and — gross margin. GCMG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 77/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GCMG ACTIVE GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A)	B+	77/100	56.4x	—	82.5%	+3.19%	$2.56B	Benchmark Subject
GDV Gabelli Dividend & Income Trust of	D+	54/100	—	—	—	+0.63%	$2.59B	/gdv-vs-gcmg →
LCLN Lincoln International Inc. (Class A)	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+3.18%	$2.59B	/lcln-vs-gcmg →
APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A)	B	73/100	10.2x	—	71.9%	+4.78%	$2.95B	/apam-vs-gcmg →
NAN Nuveen New York Quality Municipal Income Fund	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+1.63%	$3.01B	/nan-vs-gcmg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001819796

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) reported GAAP revenue of $557.6M (+8.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $514.0M , and +25.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $45.4M, operating cash flow of $183.5M, and free cash flow of $175.0M (+32.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, GCMG closed FY2025 with $813.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$557.6M	$45.4M	$183.5M	$175.0M	$813.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$514.0M	$18.7M	$148.8M	$132.0M	$612.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$445.0M	$12.8M	$92.1M	$92.1M	—	—

3. GCMG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GCMG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: GCMG) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $12.61 (+3.19% 1D, market cap $2.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GCMG ranks #23 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GCMG compare to GDV and LCLN in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), GCMG carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 56.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 82.5%. By comparison, GDV (Gabelli Dividend & Income Trust of) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.59B) and LCLN (Lincoln International Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, APAM leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while GCMG leads on capital efficiency (82.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GCMG?

Per GCMG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819796), GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) generated $557.6M in revenue (+8.5% YoY), $45.4M in net income, and $175.0M in free cash flow against $813.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 56x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GCMG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GCMG last traded at $12.61 (+3.19% on volume of 1,090,528 shares), positioning the stock -2.70% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.96) and +6.23% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.87). Across its 52-week range of $9.30 to $14.87, GCMG sits at the 59.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($11.88 to $13.34).

GCMG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), GCMG converted $557.6M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 23.9% operating margin, and $175.0M in free cash flow (31.4% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: GCMG RQD Cockpit GCMG 12M Forecast GCMG Earnings & Move GCMG Dividends & DRIP GCMG Insiders & 13F GCMG Whale Options GCMG Profit Sankey GCMG News & Why