MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
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Why GAIN Stock advanced +1.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$15.27 +1.26% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.28
Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $608.1M
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Is GAIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (NASDAQ: GAIN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $15.27 (+1.26% 1D, market cap $608.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GAIN ranks #869 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GAIN compare to VEL and QFIN in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GAIN carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 31.0%. By comparison, VEL (Velocity Financial Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 6.0x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $629.7M) and QFIN (Qfin Holdings Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 27.2%, cap $641.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VEL leads on earnings multiple (6.0x) while GAIN leads on capital efficiency (31.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GAIN?
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Per GAIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001321741), Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company generated $0 in revenue, $184.8M in net income, and -$101.6M in free cash flow against $1.24B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.28 (+0.04%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GAIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GAIN SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (24% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.6% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 54% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$15.25-1.3% Next Q
41
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$15.05-2.5% Next Q
44
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$14.68+4% Next Q
46
CurrentGrade D$15.27-5.4% Hist 90D α
49
Trajectory: D (41) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GAIN Turnaround Squeeze
While GAIN currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.68) and Max Pain ($16.03) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.00.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GAIN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GAIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why GAIN Stock advanced +1.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN) advanced +1.26% to $15.27, trading at 54% of its 52-week range ($13.11 – $17.14). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (31% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 54% of its 52-week range ($13.11 – $17.14) with RSI-14 at 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3.6% around $15.27 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live GAIN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 10h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 10h ago
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RISK WATCHReuters • 11h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 13h ago
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GAIN)
- ✓Walkthrough of GAIN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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GAIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.07%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $15.29H $15.38L $15.09C $15.27VOL 191.2K
RES: $16.91SUP: $14.36SMA50: $15.68SMA200: $15.35
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
GAIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GAIN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GAIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GAIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GAIN)
Financials Rank #869 of 1096
⚔️ VEL vs GAIN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GAIN vs. VEL, QFIN, TRON, HIVE)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN) ranks #869 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #665 by equity capitalization ($608.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VEL leads on earnings valuation at 6.0x trailing P/E, while GAIN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.0% ROIC and — gross margin. QFIN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with GAIN at 49/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIN
ACTIVE
Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company | D | 49/100 | — | — | 31.0% | +1.26% | $608.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| VEL Velocity Financial Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 6.0x | — | 15.6% | +2.44% | $629.7M | /vel-vs-gain → |
| QFIN Qfin Holdings Inc. | C | 65/100 | — | — | 27.2% | -4.01% | $641.6M | /qfin-vs-gain → |
| TRON Tron Inc. | E | 26/100 | — | — | -0.9% | -11.40% | $645.2M | /tron-vs-gain → |
| HIVE HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | -26.5% | -2.36% | $567.8M | /hive-vs-gain → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001321741In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $184.8M, operating cash flow of -$101.6M, and free cash flow of -$101.6M (-723.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, GAIN closed FY2025 with $1.24B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-03-31 | $0 | $184.8M | -$101.6M | -$101.6M | $1.24B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-03-31 | $0 | $65.3M | $16.3M | $16.3M | $1.09B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-03-31 | $0 | $85.3M | -$69.9M | -$69.9M | — | — |
3. GAIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GAIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (NASDAQ: GAIN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $15.27 (+1.26% 1D, market cap $608.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GAIN ranks #869 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GAIN compare to VEL and QFIN in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GAIN carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 31.0%. By comparison, VEL (Velocity Financial Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 6.0x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $629.7M) and QFIN (Qfin Holdings Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 27.2%, cap $641.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VEL leads on earnings multiple (6.0x) while GAIN leads on capital efficiency (31.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GAIN?
Per GAIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001321741), Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company generated $0 in revenue, $184.8M in net income, and -$101.6M in free cash flow against $1.24B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GAIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GAIN last traded at $15.27 (+1.26% on volume of 136,182 shares), positioning the stock -2.61% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.68) and -0.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.35). Across its 52-week range of $13.11 to $17.14, GAIN sits at the 53.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.6% ($14.72 to $15.82).
GAIN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GAIN stock moving today?
Why GAIN Stock advanced +1.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (31% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.