Stock Ratings / Financials / GAIN / earnings

VEL (59) QFIN (65) TRON (26) HIVE (52) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.6% Move

$15.27 +1.26% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.28

Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $608.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.28 (+0.04%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GAIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GAIN SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 54% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$15.25-1.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$15.05-2.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$14.68+4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$15.27-5.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (41) → D (49)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GAIN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GAIN currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.68) and Max Pain ($16.03) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.00.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GAIN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GAIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.6% Swing Band

±$0.55 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GAIN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 49/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (49/100)Model Risk Weight (51/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-03-31	$0	$184.8M	-$101.6M	52%
FY 2024	2025-03-31	$0	$65.3M	$16.3M	52%
FY 2023	2024-03-31	$0	$85.3M	-$69.9M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GAIN)

✓Walkthrough of GAIN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GAIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.07%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $15.29H $15.38L $15.09C $15.27VOL 191.2K

RES: $16.91SUP: $14.36SMA50: $15.68SMA200: $15.35

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GAIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GAIN Butterfly Map → + Track GAIN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GAIN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GAIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GAIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GAIN)

Financials Rank #869 of 1096 ⚔️ VEL vs GAIN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GAIN vs. VEL, QFIN, TRON, HIVE)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN) ranks #869 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #665 by equity capitalization ($608.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VEL leads on earnings valuation at 6.0x trailing P/E, while GAIN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.0% ROIC and — gross margin. QFIN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with GAIN at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GAIN ACTIVE Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company	D	49/100	—	—	31.0%	+1.26%	$608.1M	Benchmark Subject
VEL Velocity Financial Inc.	C-	59/100	6.0x	—	15.6%	+2.44%	$629.7M	/vel-vs-gain →
QFIN Qfin Holdings Inc.	C	65/100	—	—	27.2%	-4.01%	$641.6M	/qfin-vs-gain →
TRON Tron Inc.	E	26/100	—	—	-0.9%	-11.40%	$645.2M	/tron-vs-gain →
HIVE HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd.	D+	52/100	—	—	-26.5%	-2.36%	$567.8M	/hive-vs-gain →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001321741

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $184.8M, operating cash flow of -$101.6M, and free cash flow of -$101.6M (-723.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, GAIN closed FY2025 with $1.24B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$0	$184.8M	-$101.6M	-$101.6M	$1.24B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$0	$65.3M	$16.3M	$16.3M	$1.09B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$0	$85.3M	-$69.9M	-$69.9M	—	—

3. GAIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GAIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (NASDAQ: GAIN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $15.27 (+1.26% 1D, market cap $608.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GAIN ranks #869 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GAIN compare to VEL and QFIN in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GAIN carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 31.0%. By comparison, VEL (Velocity Financial Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 6.0x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $629.7M) and QFIN (Qfin Holdings Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 27.2%, cap $641.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VEL leads on earnings multiple (6.0x) while GAIN leads on capital efficiency (31.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GAIN?

Per GAIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001321741), Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company generated $0 in revenue, $184.8M in net income, and -$101.6M in free cash flow against $1.24B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GAIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GAIN last traded at $15.27 (+1.26% on volume of 136,182 shares), positioning the stock -2.61% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.68) and -0.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.35). Across its 52-week range of $13.11 to $17.14, GAIN sits at the 53.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.6% ($14.72 to $15.82).

GAIN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is GAIN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is GAIN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±3.6% event move for GAIN, spanning a range between $14.72 and $15.82.

Direct Sub-Reports: GAIN RQD Cockpit GAIN 12M Forecast GAIN Earnings & Move GAIN Dividends & DRIP GAIN Insiders & 13F GAIN Whale Options GAIN Profit Sankey GAIN News & Why