MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
Why FOXF Stock surged +5.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$16.33 +5.42% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.46
Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $686.4M
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FOXF Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is FOXF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: FOXF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $16.33 (+5.42% 1D, market cap $686.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FOXF ranks #544 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does FOXF compare to LVWR and HOG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), FOXF carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LVWR (LiveWire Group Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $184.9M) and HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FOXF?
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Per FOXF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001424929), Fox Factory Holding Corp. generated $1.47B in revenue (+5.3% YoY), -$544.6M in net income, and $27.0M in free cash flow against $1.67B in total assets and $496.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.46 (+0.79%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 1.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FOXF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FOXF SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (25% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 33% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$18.05-11.1% Next Q
63
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$16.04-6% Next Q
60
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$15.07+8.4% Next Q
58
CurrentGrade D+$16.33-0.5% Hist 90D α
55
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FOXF Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, FOXF faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.54) or 200D SMA ($18.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($16.11) toward Bear Floor ($12.57).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FOXF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FOXF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why FOXF Stock surged +5.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) surged +5.42% to $16.33, trading at 33% of its 52-week range ($13.08 – $23.07). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 33% of its 52-week range ($13.08 – $23.07) with RSI-14 at 42.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.5% around $16.33 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 30.2% gross margin and $27.0M annual free cash flow.
Live FOXF Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
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RISK WATCHReuters • 10h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 11h ago
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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FOXF)
- ✓Walkthrough of FOXF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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FOXF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.00%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $16.22H $16.40L $15.71C $16.33VOL 1.31M
RES: $23.02SUP: $14.34SMA50: $18.54SMA200: $18.13
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
FOXF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +5.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FOXF today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FOXF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FOXF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FOXF)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #544 of 1011
⚔️ LVWR vs FOXF Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FOXF vs. LVWR, HOG, LKQ, INEO)
Industry: Motor Vehicles (8 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) ranks #544 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #557 by equity capitalization ($686.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LKQ leads on earnings valuation at 7.5x trailing P/E, while HOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. HOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with FOXF at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOXF
ACTIVE
Fox Factory Holding Corp. | D+ | 55/100 | — | 30.2% | -35.0% | +5.42% | $686.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| LVWR LiveWire Group Inc. | E | 25/100 | — | -17.3% | -35.0% | -43.74% | $184.9M | /lvwr-vs-foxf → |
| HOG Harley-Davidson Inc. | B | 75/100 | 9.3x | 23.9% | 18.0% | +2.74% | $3.16B | /hog-vs-foxf → |
| LKQ LKQ Corporation | D+ | 56/100 | 7.5x | 38.6% | 8.5% | +5.29% | $4.58B | /lkq-vs-foxf → |
| INEO INNEOVA Holdings Limited (Class A) | D | 46/100 | — | 19.2% | -1.0% | +5.75% | $9.2M | /ineo-vs-foxf → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-02 • CIK 0001424929In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02), Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) reported GAAP revenue of $1.47B (+5.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.39B , and +0.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$544.6M, operating cash flow of $60.9M, and free cash flow of $27.0M (-69.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FOXF closed FY2025 with $1.67B in total assets against $496.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.88, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-01-02 | $1.47B | -$544.6M | $60.9M | $27.0M | $1.67B | $496.7M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-01-03 | $1.39B | $6.5M | $131.8M | $87.8M | $2.23B | $527.8M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-29 | $1.46B | $120.8M | $178.7M | $178.7M | — | — |
3. FOXF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs FOXF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: FOXF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $16.33 (+5.42% 1D, market cap $686.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FOXF ranks #544 in composite RQD confidence.
How does FOXF compare to LVWR and HOG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), FOXF carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LVWR (LiveWire Group Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $184.9M) and HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FOXF?
Per FOXF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001424929), Fox Factory Holding Corp. generated $1.47B in revenue (+5.3% YoY), -$544.6M in net income, and $27.0M in free cash flow against $1.67B in total assets and $496.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is FOXF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
FOXF last traded at $16.33 (+5.42% on volume of 561,743 shares), positioning the stock -11.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.54) and -9.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.13). Across its 52-week range of $13.08 to $23.07, FOXF sits at the 32.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.5% ($14.45 to $18.21).
FOXF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is FOXF stock moving today?
Why FOXF Stock surged +5.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.