Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / FOXF / dividends

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Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$16.33 +5.42% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.46

Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $686.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.46 (+0.79%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 1.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FOXF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FOXF SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 33% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$18.05-11.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$16.04-6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$15.07+8.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$16.33-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FOXF Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, FOXF faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.54) or 200D SMA ($18.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($16.11) toward Bear Floor ($12.57).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FOXF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FOXF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FOXF)

✓Walkthrough of FOXF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FOXF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.00%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $16.22H $16.40L $15.71C $16.33VOL 1.31M

RES: $23.02SUP: $14.34SMA50: $18.54SMA200: $18.13

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FOXF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FOXF Butterfly Map → + Track FOXF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FOXF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FOXF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FOXF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FOXF)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #544 of 1011 ⚔️ LVWR vs FOXF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FOXF vs. LVWR, HOG, LKQ, INEO)

Industry: Motor Vehicles (8 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) ranks #544 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #557 by equity capitalization ($686.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LKQ leads on earnings valuation at 7.5x trailing P/E, while HOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. HOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with FOXF at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FOXF ACTIVE Fox Factory Holding Corp.	D+	55/100	—	30.2%	-35.0%	+5.42%	$686.4M	Benchmark Subject
LVWR LiveWire Group Inc.	E	25/100	—	-17.3%	-35.0%	-43.74%	$184.9M	/lvwr-vs-foxf →
HOG Harley-Davidson Inc.	B	75/100	9.3x	23.9%	18.0%	+2.74%	$3.16B	/hog-vs-foxf →
LKQ LKQ Corporation	D+	56/100	7.5x	38.6%	8.5%	+5.29%	$4.58B	/lkq-vs-foxf →
INEO INNEOVA Holdings Limited (Class A)	D	46/100	—	19.2%	-1.0%	+5.75%	$9.2M	/ineo-vs-foxf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-02 • CIK 0001424929

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02), Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) reported GAAP revenue of $1.47B (+5.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.39B , and +0.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$544.6M, operating cash flow of $60.9M, and free cash flow of $27.0M (-69.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FOXF closed FY2025 with $1.67B in total assets against $496.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.88, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-02	$1.47B	-$544.6M	$60.9M	$27.0M	$1.67B	$496.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-03	$1.39B	$6.5M	$131.8M	$87.8M	$2.23B	$527.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-29	$1.46B	$120.8M	$178.7M	$178.7M	—	—

3. FOXF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FOXF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: FOXF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $16.33 (+5.42% 1D, market cap $686.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FOXF ranks #544 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FOXF compare to LVWR and HOG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), FOXF carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LVWR (LiveWire Group Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $184.9M) and HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FOXF?

Per FOXF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001424929), Fox Factory Holding Corp. generated $1.47B in revenue (+5.3% YoY), -$544.6M in net income, and $27.0M in free cash flow against $1.67B in total assets and $496.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FOXF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FOXF last traded at $16.33 (+5.42% on volume of 561,743 shares), positioning the stock -11.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.54) and -9.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.13). Across its 52-week range of $13.08 to $23.07, FOXF sits at the 32.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.5% ($14.45 to $18.21).

FOXF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does FOXF pay a dividend and is it safe?

Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: FOXF RQD Cockpit FOXF 12M Forecast FOXF Earnings & Move FOXF Dividends & DRIP FOXF Insiders & 13F FOXF Whale Options FOXF Profit Sankey FOXF News & Why