Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / FOXF / earnings

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Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.5% Move

$16.33 +5.42% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $686.4M

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FOXF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.5%

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 1, 2027 (~60 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.5% Swing Band

±$1.88 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FOXF Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 55/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 5.3%

Model Bullish Setup (55/100)Model Risk Weight (45/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-01-02	$1.47B	-$544.6M	$27.0M	30.2%
FY 2024	2025-01-03	$1.39B	$6.5M	$87.8M	30.4%
FY 2023	2023-12-29	$1.46B	$120.8M	$178.7M	30.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FOXF)

✓Walkthrough of FOXF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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FOXF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.00%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $16.22H $16.40L $15.71C $16.33VOL 1.31M

RES: $23.02SUP: $14.34SMA50: $18.54SMA200: $18.13

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FOXF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FOXF Butterfly Map → + Track FOXF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FOXF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FOXF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FOXF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FOXF)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #544 of 1011 ⚔️ LVWR vs FOXF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FOXF vs. LVWR, HOG, LKQ, INEO)

Industry: Motor Vehicles (8 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) ranks #544 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #557 by equity capitalization ($686.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LKQ leads on earnings valuation at 7.5x trailing P/E, while HOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. HOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with FOXF at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FOXF ACTIVE Fox Factory Holding Corp.	D+	55/100	—	30.2%	-35.0%	+5.42%	$686.4M	Benchmark Subject
LVWR LiveWire Group Inc.	E	25/100	—	-17.3%	-35.0%	-43.74%	$184.9M	/lvwr-vs-foxf →
HOG Harley-Davidson Inc.	B	75/100	9.3x	23.9%	18.0%	+2.74%	$3.16B	/hog-vs-foxf →
LKQ LKQ Corporation	D+	56/100	7.5x	38.6%	8.5%	+5.29%	$4.58B	/lkq-vs-foxf →
INEO INNEOVA Holdings Limited (Class A)	D	46/100	—	19.2%	-1.0%	+5.75%	$9.2M	/ineo-vs-foxf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-02 • CIK 0001424929

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02), Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) reported GAAP revenue of $1.47B (+5.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.39B , and +0.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$544.6M, operating cash flow of $60.9M, and free cash flow of $27.0M (-69.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FOXF closed FY2025 with $1.67B in total assets against $496.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.88, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-02	$1.47B	-$544.6M	$60.9M	$27.0M	$1.67B	$496.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-03	$1.39B	$6.5M	$131.8M	$87.8M	$2.23B	$527.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-29	$1.46B	$120.8M	$178.7M	$178.7M	—	—

3. FOXF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FOXF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: FOXF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $16.33 (+5.42% 1D, market cap $686.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FOXF ranks #544 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FOXF compare to LVWR and HOG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), FOXF carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LVWR (LiveWire Group Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $184.9M) and HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FOXF?

Per FOXF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001424929), Fox Factory Holding Corp. generated $1.47B in revenue (+5.3% YoY), -$544.6M in net income, and $27.0M in free cash flow against $1.67B in total assets and $496.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FOXF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FOXF last traded at $16.33 (+5.42% on volume of 561,743 shares), positioning the stock -11.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.54) and -9.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.13). Across its 52-week range of $13.08 to $23.07, FOXF sits at the 32.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.5% ($14.45 to $18.21).

FOXF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FOXF's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 1, 2027.

How much is FOXF stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.5% event move for FOXF, spanning a range between $14.45 and $18.21.

Direct Sub-Reports: FOXF RQD Cockpit FOXF 12M Forecast FOXF Earnings & Move FOXF Dividends & DRIP FOXF Insiders & 13F FOXF Whale Options FOXF Profit Sankey FOXF News & Why